Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Hull City vs Everton

2 – 2 Full time

13′Matt Crooks
21′Oliver McBurnie
48′Joe Gelhardt
55′Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
64′Ryan GilesElliot Stroud
64′Joe GelhardtMohamed Belloumi
65′Matt CrooksTim Iroegbunam
66′Brennan JohnsonTyrique George
68′Thierno Barry
74′Mohamed Belloumi
75′Regan SlaterHidemasa Morita
78′Harrison ArmstrongHayden Hackney
78′Ainsley Maitland-NilesJake O'Brien
86′Sorba ThomasRobinio Vaz
86′Jack GrealishTyler Dibling
86′Thierno BarryCharly Alcaraz

MKM Stadium, HullReferee: Michael Salisbury

Hull City 29%
Draw 29%
Everton 42%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
35 Possession % 65
7 Corners 6
15 Fouls 4
1 Offsides 4
4 Saves 2
223 Accurate passes 511

Hull City vs Everton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hull City vs Everton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHull CityDrawEverton
Model37.5%32.1%30.4%
Market26.8%28.0%45.2%
Final29.4%29.1%41.5%
Edge+2.7%+1.0%-3.7%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Everton

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hull City ↓ / Everton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 10% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 12%

Hull City and Everton expected goals

Hull City 1.17
Everton 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.26

Hull City and Everton attack and defence ratings

Hull City

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Everton

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hull City vs Everton: result vs prediction

Hull City 2 – 2 Everton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Hull City vs Everton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Everton 41.5% 2.41 -3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.0% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.9% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.6% 1.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hull City29.4%
Draw29.1%
Everton41.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.0%
Under 2.559.0%
Both teams to scoreYes49.0%
No51.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.5%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)70.6%
Handicap -1Everton win12.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss69.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-115.1%
0-011.8%
1-010.1%

Hull City vs Everton stats

Hull City and Everton recent form

newest first
Hull City LDLDWD
Everton WWDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hull City and Everton going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hull City record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Everton record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Hull City vs Everton head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Hull City wins 2Draws 4Everton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-01-08Hull CityEvertonFA Cup2-3
2017-03-18EvertonHull CityPremier League4-0
2016-12-30Hull CityEvertonPremier League2-2
2015-01-01Hull CityEvertonPremier League2-0
2014-12-03EvertonHull CityPremier League1-1
2014-05-11Hull CityEvertonPremier League0-2
2013-10-19EvertonHull CityPremier League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hull City vs Everton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.8%, draw 28.0%, away 45.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.68 3.52 2.18
Bet365 3.70 3.30 2.10
BetVictor 3.50 3.40 2.10
Betano 3.55 3.40 2.12
Betfair 3.80 3.40 2.05
Dafabet 3.50 3.40 2.17
Marathonbet 3.58 3.42 2.12
Pinnacle 3.68 3.40 2.14
SBO 3.30 3.15 2.05
William Hill 3.40 3.30 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.56 ▼ -0.23
X 3.40 ▲ +0.10
2 2.11 ▲ +0.06

55 snapshots recorded, from .