Hull City
vs
Everton
Garuda Lions Prediction: Everton
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Hull City vs Everton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hull City vs Everton
| Probability | Hull City | Draw | Everton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 32.0% | 30.5% |
| Market | 25.9% | 27.9% | 46.2% |
| Final | 28.8% | 28.9% | 42.3% |
| Edge | +11.5% | +4.2% | -15.7% |
Why Everton
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hull City vs Everton match preview
Hull City faces Everton in a Premier League clash, with the match set to kick off on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 29% probability for both a Hull City win and a draw, while Everton is favored with a 42% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a probability of 9%. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 41%, and both teams are assessed to have a 49% chance of scoring.
In terms of recent form, Hull City has recorded a sequence of results with two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Everton has shown stronger form, winning three of their last five encounters while drawing the other two. Expected goals suggest Hull City is likely to score 1.17, while Everton is projected at 1.09.
Hull City and Everton team news
Hull City news
- B. Norton-Cuffy — muscle injury
- C. Hughes — groin injury
- D. Gyabi — groin injury
- E. Matazo — knee injury
- E. Stroud — illness
- H. Morita — calf injury
- I. Ansah — back injury
- J. Butland — arm injury
- M. Targett — ankle injury
- T. Iroegbunam — groin injury
Everton news
- C. Norgaard — groin injury
- M. Rohl — injury
- V. Mykolenko — injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hull City and Everton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Hull City and Everton attack and defence ratings
Hull City
Everton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hull City vs Everton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 42.3% | 2.37 | -15.7% | 2.11 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hull City | 28.8% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Everton | 42.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Everton win | 12.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 69.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 15.1% |
| 0-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
Hull City vs Everton stats
Hull City vs Everton head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hull City vs Everton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.9%, draw 27.9%, away 46.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.82 | 3.62 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.45 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 3.72 | 3.52 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.75 | 3.57 | 2.05 |
| SBO | 3.21 | 3.06 | 2.04 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
52 snapshots recorded, from .