Sunderland
vs
Brighton
0 – 2 Full time
| 34′ | Thomas MeunierMalick Fofana | ||
| 36′ | Olivier Boscagli | ||
| 53′ | Maxim De Cuyper | ||
| 57′ | Pascal Struijk | ||
| 60′ | Charalampos KostoulasLewis Dunk | ||
| 68′ | Olivier BoscagliCostinha | ||
| 68′ | Maxim De CuyperMalick Yalcouyé | ||
| 73′ | Reinildo Isnard MandavaDayann Methalie | ||
| 73′ | Nilson AnguloDjiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi | ||
| 81′ | Enzo Le FéeJuan Riquelme Angulo | ||
| 88′ | Diego GomezJaouen Hadjam | ||
| 88′ | Yasin AyariGeorginio Rutter | ||
| 90′ | Jaouen Hadjam |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 386 | Accurate passes | 206 |
Sunderland vs Brighton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sunderland vs Brighton
| Probability | Sunderland | Draw | Brighton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 23.9% | 35.8% |
| Market | 31.7% | 27.3% | 41.0% |
| Final | 33.8% | 26.5% | 39.7% |
| Edge | +2.1% | -0.9% | -1.3% |
Why Brighton
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sunderland and Brighton expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
Sunderland and Brighton attack and defence ratings
Sunderland
Brighton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sunderland vs Brighton: result vs prediction
Sunderland 0 – 2 Brighton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sunderland vs Brighton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brighton | 39.7% | 2.52 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 33.8% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Brighton | 39.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% |
| No | 27.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brighton win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 64.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Sunderland vs Brighton stats
Sunderland and Brighton recent form
| Sunderland |
LWLWDW |
| Brighton |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sunderland and Brighton going into this match
Sunderland record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brighton record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sunderland vs Brighton head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Sunderland | Brighton | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Brighton | Sunderland | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2011-08-23 | Brighton | Sunderland | League Cup | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sunderland vs Brighton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 27.3%, away 41.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.16 | 3.58 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 3.48 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 3.11 | 3.48 | 2.36 |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.11 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
55 snapshots recorded, from .