Brighton
vs
Kauno Žalgiris
4 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | Fabien Ourega | ||
| 41′ | G. Rutter | ||
| 45′ | J. Hinshelwood | ||
| 46′ | O. BoscagliM. De Cuyper | ||
| 46′ | L. DunkL. Vuskovic | ||
| 46′ | F. OuregaR. Lekiatas | ||
| 46′ | Leo RibeiroL. Krekovic | ||
| 53′ | G. Rutter | ||
| 57′ | P. GrossY. Ayari | ||
| 57′ | J. HinshelwoodP. David | ||
| 57′ | F. BaldassarraA. Kalik | ||
| 57′ | Renan OliveiraG. Debeljuh | ||
| 61′ | A. BenchaibV. Slivka | ||
| 67′ | I. OsmanY. Ibrahim | ||
| 67′ | M. O'Riley |
Match stats
| 35 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 78 | Possession % | 22 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 632 | Accurate passes | 136 |
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris
| Probability | Brighton | Draw | Kauno Žalgiris |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 25.0% | 29.7% |
| Market | 93.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Final | 81.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Edge | -12.1% | +5.1% | +7.0% |
Why Brighton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.43.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris attack and defence ratings
Brighton
Kauno Žalgiris
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris: result vs prediction
Brighton 4 – 0 Kauno Žalgiris
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
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- HNK Hajduk Split v Ajax — match page
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
- Gent vs Aarhus — team news & stats
- Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — team news & stats
- CSKA Sofia v Monaco — match page
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor
- Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes — match page
Before and after this match
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brighton | 81.5% | 1.23 | -12.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brighton | 81.5% |
| Draw | 9.7% | |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 8.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% |
| No | 35.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brighton win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris stats
Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris recent form
| Brighton |
WWWWDL |
| Kauno Žalgiris |
WLWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 93.6%, draw 4.5%, away 1.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.01 | 29.00 | 60.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.02 | 19.00 | 51.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.02 | 13.00 | 56.00 |
| Betano | 1.03 | 21.00 | 29.00 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 21.00 | 41.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.03 | 21.00 | 60.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.00 | 17.75 | 51.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.02 | 24.74 | 45.13 |
| William Hill | 1.03 | 23.00 | 51.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .