Šiauliai
vs
Kauno Žalgiris
0 – 2 Full time
| 38′ | D. Hasanovic | ||
| 40′ | M. Burba | ||
| 53′ | M. Burba | ||
| 64′ | G. DebeljuhRenan Oliveira | ||
| 64′ | L. KrekovicF. Baldassarra | ||
| 67′ | A. ValuckasK. Zebrauskas | ||
| 70′ | L. I. Kastrati | ||
| 75′ | M. BurbaG. Sirgedas | ||
| 75′ | L. I. KastratiJ. Moutachy | ||
| 78′ | D. HasanovicM. Mandic | ||
| 78′ | D. NaahK. Gustas | ||
| 81′ | M. Dapkus | ||
| 87′ | A. KalikF. Cernych | ||
| 90′ | A. Benchaib | ||
| 90′ | F. Baldassarra |
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris
| Probability | Šiauliai | Draw | Kauno Žalgiris |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.2% | 20.1% | 67.6% |
| Market | 11.1% | 17.0% | 71.9% |
| Final | 11.4% | 17.8% | 70.9% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +3.2% | -4.3% |
Why Kauno Žalgiris
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Šiauliai and Kauno Žalgiris expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Šiauliai and Kauno Žalgiris attack and defence ratings
Šiauliai
Kauno Žalgiris
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris: result vs prediction
Šiauliai 0 – 2 Kauno Žalgiris
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 70.9% | 1.41 | -4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kauno Žalgiris win | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Šiauliai | 11.4% |
| Draw | 17.8% | |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 70.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 29.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kauno Žalgiris win | 45.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 32.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.6% |
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris stats
Šiauliai and Kauno Žalgiris recent form
| Šiauliai |
DLLLWL |
| Kauno Žalgiris |
LWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Šiauliai and Kauno Žalgiris going into this match
Šiauliai record
- They have won 4 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Kauno Žalgiris record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Šiauliai | Kauno Žalgiris | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Kauno Žalgiris | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 4-0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Kauno Žalgiris | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Šiauliai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 0-5 |
| 2025-10-17 | Kauno Žalgiris | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-20 | Šiauliai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-23 | Kauno Žalgiris | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 3-0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Šiauliai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 2-3 |
| 2024-09-15 | Kauno Žalgiris | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-21 | Kauno Žalgiris | Šiauliai | Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.1%, draw 17.0%, away 71.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.65 | 5.60 | 1.26 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.20 |
| Betano | 7.50 | 5.10 | 1.28 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.20 |
| Pinnacle | 8.70 | 5.67 | 1.26 |
| SBO | 6.86 | 5.03 | 1.25 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .