Banga
vs
Šiauliai
Garuda Lions Prediction: Banga
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.77.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Banga is the favourite, not a value bet.
Banga vs Šiauliai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Banga vs Šiauliai
| Probability | Banga | Draw | Šiauliai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.5% | 22.7% | 12.8% |
| Market | 63.3% | 21.7% | 15.0% |
| Final | 63.6% | 22.0% | 14.5% |
| Edge | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.6% |
Why Banga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.77.
Best available price on the pick: 1.49, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (our 63.6% × 1.49 − 1).
Banga vs Šiauliai match preview
Banga holds a strong probability of winning at 64%, while Šiauliai has a lower chance at 14%. The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.96 for Banga and 0.77 for Šiauliai. Recent form shows Banga with mixed results, recording one win in their last five matches, while Šiauliai has struggled, managing only one win in their last six outings.
In their last ten encounters, Banga has secured five victories, with Šiauliai winning three times and two matches ending in a draw. The model indicates a 51% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score. With a confidence grade of C, the match could present an intriguing contest between the two sides.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Banga and Šiauliai expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Banga and Šiauliai attack and defence ratings
Banga
Šiauliai
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Banga vs Šiauliai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Banga | 63.6% | 1.57 | +0.3% | 1.49 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Banga win | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Banga | 63.6% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Šiauliai | 14.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Banga win | 40.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 35.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-1 | 10.8% |
Banga vs Šiauliai stats
Banga and Šiauliai recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Banga and Šiauliai season so far
Banga record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Šiauliai record
- They have won 4 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Banga vs Šiauliai head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Šiauliai | Banga | A Lyga | 1-3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Banga | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Šiauliai | Banga | A Lyga | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Šiauliai | Banga | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Šiauliai | Banga | A Lyga | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-04 | Banga | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-27 | Banga | Šiauliai | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Šiauliai | Banga | A Lyga | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Banga | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-17 | Banga | Šiauliai | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Banga vs Šiauliai odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.3%, draw 21.7%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 4.15 | 6.31 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.75 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 3.60 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 4.30 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 4.15 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49 | 4.17 | 6.05 |
| SBO | 1.39 | 3.76 | 5.51 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .