Šiauliai
vs
Džiugas Telšiai
Garuda Lions Prediction: Džiugas Telšiai
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai
| Probability | Šiauliai | Draw | Džiugas Telšiai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 27.4% | 41.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.5% | 27.4% | 41.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai match preview
Šiauliai faces Džiugas Telšiai in an A Lyga clash, with Šiauliai holding a 31% probability of winning, while Džiugas Telšiai has a 41% chance. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Džiugas Telšiai, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.51 compared to Šiauliai's 1.30.
Recent form shows Šiauliai struggling with a record of L-D-L-L-L-W, while Džiugas Telšiai has not fared much better, recording D-L-L-D-L-L. The head-to-head results indicate a balanced rivalry, with both teams having three wins each and one draw in their last seven encounters. The model suggests a 53% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Šiauliai and Džiugas Telšiai expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Šiauliai and Džiugas Telšiai attack and defence ratings
Šiauliai
Džiugas Telšiai
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Džiugas Telšiai | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Šiauliai | 31.5% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Džiugas Telšiai | 41.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Džiugas Telšiai win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 7.9% |
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai stats
Šiauliai and Džiugas Telšiai recent form
| Šiauliai |
LDLLLW |
| Džiugas Telšiai |
DLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Šiauliai and Džiugas Telšiai season so far
Šiauliai record
- They have won 4 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Džiugas Telšiai record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Šiauliai | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga | 3-4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Džiugas Telšiai | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 4-3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Džiugas Telšiai | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Šiauliai | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Džiugas Telšiai | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 1-3 |
| 2025-06-29 | Šiauliai | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga | 5-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Džiugas Telšiai | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.