Panevėžys
vs
TransINVEST Vilnius
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panevėžys
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius
| Probability | Panevėžys | Draw | TransINVEST Vilnius |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 28.3% | 33.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.3% | 28.3% | 33.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius match preview
Panevėžys faces TransINVEST Vilnius in an A Lyga matchup with Panevėžys holding a 42% probability of winning, while TransINVEST Vilnius has a 31% chance. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Panevėžys, occurring with a 9% likelihood. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 53%, and both teams scoring is projected at 58%.
In terms of recent form, Panevėžys has recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches, while TransINVEST Vilnius has two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. The expected goals for Panevėžys is 1.53, compared to 1.28 for TransINVEST Vilnius. In their last three encounters, Panevėžys has secured two wins against TransINVEST Vilnius, who has one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius attack and defence ratings
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panevėžys | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panevėžys | 38.3% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| TransINVEST Vilnius | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panevėžys win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius stats
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius recent form
| Panevėžys |
WLWWWL |
| TransINVEST Vilnius |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius season so far
Panevėžys record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
TransINVEST Vilnius record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | TransINVEST Vilnius | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 0-2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Panevėžys | TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-12 | TransINVEST Vilnius | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.