Suduva Marijampole
vs
Banga
Garuda Lions Prediction: Suduva Marijampole
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Suduva Marijampole vs Banga
| Probability | Suduva Marijampole | Draw | Banga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.5% | 30.0% | 29.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.5% | 30.0% | 29.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga match preview
Suduva Marijampole faces Banga in an A Lyga match with a predicted outcome favoring Suduva at 40%, while both a draw and a Banga victory stand at 30%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Suduva, with an 11% probability. The expected goals for Suduva are 1.32, compared to Banga's 1.09, indicating a slight edge for the home team.
In terms of recent form, Suduva has recorded two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five matches, while Banga's form shows two draws, one win, and two losses. Historically, Suduva has been dominant in their last seven encounters, winning five, drawing one, and losing only once to Banga. The model also suggests a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Suduva Marijampole and Banga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Suduva Marijampole and Banga attack and defence ratings
Suduva Marijampole
Banga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suduva Marijampole | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suduva Marijampole | 40.5% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Banga | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Suduva Marijampole win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga stats
Suduva Marijampole and Banga recent form
| Suduva Marijampole |
LLDDLW |
| Banga |
DLWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Suduva Marijampole and Banga season so far
Suduva Marijampole record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Banga record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Suduva Marijampole vs Banga head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Banga | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 0-3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Suduva Marijampole | Banga | A Lyga | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Banga | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Banga | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Suduva Marijampole | Banga | A Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Banga | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Suduva Marijampole | Banga | A Lyga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.