TransINVEST Vilnius
vs
Hegelmann Litauen
Garuda Lions Prediction: TransINVEST Vilnius
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen
| Probability | TransINVEST Vilnius | Draw | Hegelmann Litauen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.4% | 20.6% | 12.0% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 67.4% | 20.6% | 12.0% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why TransINVEST Vilnius
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen match preview
TransINVEST Vilnius enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 67%, while Hegelmann Litauen has a lower chance at 12%. The expected goals for TransINVEST Vilnius stands at 2.17, significantly higher than Hegelmann Litauen's 0.82. Recent form shows TransINVEST Vilnius with two wins in their last three matches, contrasting with Hegelmann Litauen's struggles, having drawn four times and lost twice in their recent outings.
In terms of head-to-head encounters, TransINVEST Vilnius has secured two victories against Hegelmann Litauen in their last three meetings, with Hegelmann winning once. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of TransINVEST Vilnius, and there is a 58% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals. Both teams scoring is estimated at 51%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
TransINVEST Vilnius and Hegelmann Litauen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
TransINVEST Vilnius and Hegelmann Litauen attack and defence ratings
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 67.4% | 1.48 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% | 1.14 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | TransINVEST Vilnius win | 44.4% | 2.25 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 67.4% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 12.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | TransINVEST Vilnius win | 44.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 32.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | |
| 1-1 | 9.8% |
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen stats
TransINVEST Vilnius and Hegelmann Litauen recent form
| TransINVEST Vilnius |
WWLWDL |
| Hegelmann Litauen |
DDLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
TransINVEST Vilnius and Hegelmann Litauen season so far
TransINVEST Vilnius record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hegelmann Litauen record
- They have won 4 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Hegelmann Litauen | TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga | 1-2 |
| 2026-05-29 | TransINVEST Vilnius | Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Hegelmann Litauen | TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.