Panevėžys
vs
Banga
2 – 1 Full time
| 44′ | A. Appiah | ||
| 58′ | S. Kerkez | ||
| 59′ | S. KouadioE. Veliulis | ||
| 59′ | N. PetkeviciusM. Bacanin | ||
| 67′ | R. Rasimavicius | ||
| 68′ | M. SatoR. Filipavicius | ||
| 73′ | D. Balsys | ||
| 76′ | N. ZebrauskasD. Lukas | ||
| 76′ | A. OlugbogiI. Venckus | ||
| 80′ | D. BalsysJ. Bopesu | ||
| 80′ | I. AsanteO. Kurtsev | ||
| 90′ | P. Bizoza |
Panevėžys vs Banga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panevėžys vs Banga
| Probability | Panevėžys | Draw | Banga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.7% | 29.8% | 25.4% |
| Market | 37.2% | 28.8% | 34.1% |
| Final | 39.1% | 29.0% | 31.9% |
| Edge | +7.6% | +1.1% | -8.6% |
Why Panevėžys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Panevėžys below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panevėžys and Banga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Panevėžys and Banga attack and defence ratings
Panevėžys
Banga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Panevėžys vs Banga: result vs prediction
Panevėžys 2 – 1 Banga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panevėžys vs Banga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panevėžys | 39.1% | 2.56 | +7.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panevėžys | 39.1% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Banga | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panevėžys win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.8% |
Panevėžys vs Banga stats
Panevėžys and Banga recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panevėžys and Banga going into this match
Panevėžys record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Banga record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Panevėžys vs Banga head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Banga | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 0-3 |
| 2026-05-24 | Panevėžys | Banga | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Banga | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Banga | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-20 | Panevėžys | Banga | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Banga | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Panevėžys | Banga | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Banga | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 2-3 |
| 2024-06-29 | Panevėžys | Banga | A Lyga | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-11 | Banga | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panevėžys vs Banga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 29.0%, away 34.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 2.90 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.27 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .