Panevėžys
vs
Kauno Žalgiris
0 – 1 Full time
| 46′ | Leo RibeiroL. Krekovic | ||
| 46′ | E. VeliulisS. Kouadio | ||
| 55′ | F. BaldassarraM. Burba | ||
| 55′ | Renan OliveiraG. Debeljuh | ||
| 56′ | S. Keita | ||
| 59′ | N. PetkeviciusI. Asante | ||
| 70′ | R. Lekiatas | ||
| 75′ | N. Iyobosa EdokpolorM. Konatar | ||
| 75′ | K. AsamoahM. Bacanin | ||
| 75′ | D. BalsysJ. Bopesu | ||
| 83′ | L. Krekovic | ||
| 85′ | M. BurbaA. Tolordava | ||
| 90′ | R. RasimaviciusS. Kerkez | ||
| 90′ | S. Kouadio | ||
| 90′ | A. Kalik | ||
| 90′ | T. Svedkauskas |
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris
| Probability | Panevėžys | Draw | Kauno Žalgiris |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.2% | 28.4% | 40.3% |
| Market | 17.9% | 23.5% | 58.6% |
| Final | 21.3% | 24.7% | 54.0% |
| Edge | +13.3% | +5.0% | -18.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panevėžys and Kauno Žalgiris expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Panevėžys and Kauno Žalgiris attack and defence ratings
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris: result vs prediction
Panevėžys 0 – 1 Kauno Žalgiris
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 54.0% | 1.85 | -18.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panevėžys | 21.3% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 54.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kauno Žalgiris win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.8% |
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris stats
Panevėžys and Kauno Žalgiris recent form
| Panevėžys |
WWWLLW |
| Kauno Žalgiris |
WWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Panevėžys and Kauno Žalgiris going into this match
Panevėžys record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kauno Žalgiris record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Kauno Žalgiris | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Panevėžys | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Kauno Žalgiris | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 4-0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Kauno Žalgiris | Panevėžys | Super Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Kauno Žalgiris | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Panevėžys | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-24 | Kauno Žalgiris | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Panevėžys | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 0-2 |
| 2025-01-18 | Kauno Žalgiris | Panevėžys | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Kauno Žalgiris | Panevėžys | A Lyga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.1%, draw 23.6%, away 58.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.13 | 3.82 | 1.55 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 4.40 | 3.40 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 4.85 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 5.05 | 3.82 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | 5.04 | 3.88 | 1.61 |
| SBO | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.51 |
| Unibet | 4.70 | 3.65 | 1.54 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .