A Lyga
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
Kauno Žalgiris
vs
Suduva Marijampole
5 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | Y. Karashima | ||
| 30′ | G. Debeljuh | ||
| 58′ | M. BurbaA. Benchaib | ||
| 58′ | Leo RibeiroL. Krekovic | ||
| 67′ | A. ZivanovicD. Antanavicius | ||
| 67′ | F. TangiriM. Chajia | ||
| 67′ | F. SteponaviciusT. Lucky | ||
| 67′ | G. DebeljuhRenan Oliveira | ||
| 69′ | A. Benchaib | ||
| 73′ | S. M. SanokhoM. Mikulenas | ||
| 73′ | H. UzochukwuT. Milasius | ||
| 73′ | Renan Oliveira | ||
| 77′ | R. LekiatasA. Tolordava | ||
| 77′ | A. KalikG. Sirgedas | ||
| 80′ | Kauno Žalgiris | ||
| 88′ | Y. Tsykalo | ||
| 90′ | L. Krekovic |
Kauno Žalgiris
41%
Draw
28%
Suduva Marijampole
31%
Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole
| Probability | Kauno Žalgiris | Draw | Suduva Marijampole |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.8% | 30.3% | 45.0% |
| Market | 46.6% | 27.5% | 25.9% |
| Final | 41.1% | 28.2% | 30.7% |
| Edge | -21.8% | +2.8% | +19.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Kauno Žalgiris and Suduva Marijampole expected goals
Kauno Žalgiris
0.94
Suduva Marijampole
1.35
Total expected goals: 2.28
Kauno Žalgiris and Suduva Marijampole attack and defence ratings
Kauno Žalgiris
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Suduva Marijampole
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
0.59 -41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole: result vs prediction
Kauno Žalgiris 5 – 1 Suduva Marijampole
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 41.1% | 2.43 | -21.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 41.1% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Suduva Marijampole | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kauno Žalgiris win | 9.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 75.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole stats
Kauno Žalgiris and Suduva Marijampole recent form
| Kauno Žalgiris |
WDWLDL |
| Suduva Marijampole |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kauno Žalgiris and Suduva Marijampole going into this match
Kauno Žalgiris record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Suduva Marijampole record
- They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Kauno Žalgiris wins
5Draws
4Suduva Marijampole wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Kauno Žalgiris | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | Friendlies Clubs | 0-4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Kauno Žalgiris | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Kauno Žalgiris | Suduva Marijampole | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2025-06-13 | Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Kauno Žalgiris | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Kauno Žalgiris | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 2-4 |
| 2024-08-17 | Suduva Marijampole | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Suduva Marijampole odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 27.5%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.00 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.30 | 3.52 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.49 | 3.48 |
| SBO | 1.97 | 2.93 | 3.12 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.95 ▲ +0.24
X
3.30 ▼ -0.25
2
3.50 ▼ -0.75
3 snapshots recorded, from .