A Lyga
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Kauno Žalgiris
vs
Džiugas Telšiai
5 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | Pedro Bahia | ||
| 13′ | G. Sirgedas | ||
| 38′ | I. Cisse | ||
| 46′ | Leo RibeiroM. Burba | ||
| 48′ | M. Burba | ||
| 52′ | L. I. Kastrati | ||
| 56′ | A. KalikV. Slivka | ||
| 56′ | G. DebeljuhRenan Oliveira | ||
| 56′ | D. BunchukovI. E. Scotto | ||
| 56′ | Pedro BahiaD. Zevzikovas | ||
| 56′ | G. Debeljuh | ||
| 63′ | I. E. Scotto | ||
| 66′ | A. HernandezA. Tolordava | ||
| 73′ | Y. KarashimaF. Baldassarra | ||
| 74′ | L. Ankudinovas | ||
| 74′ | R. SobowaleA. Balasanov | ||
| 77′ | Renan Oliveira | ||
| 80′ | D. VinckusA. Ouattara |
Kauno Žalgiris
59%
Draw
24%
Džiugas Telšiai
17%
Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai
| Probability | Kauno Žalgiris | Draw | Džiugas Telšiai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 30.7% | 27.3% |
| Market | 64.2% | 22.1% | 13.7% |
| Final | 58.7% | 24.2% | 17.1% |
| Edge | -22.2% | +8.6% | +13.6% |
Why Kauno Žalgiris
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Kauno Žalgiris and Džiugas Telšiai expected goals
Kauno Žalgiris
1.29
Džiugas Telšiai
0.99
Total expected goals: 2.28
Kauno Žalgiris and Džiugas Telšiai attack and defence ratings
Kauno Žalgiris
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Džiugas Telšiai
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai: result vs prediction
Kauno Žalgiris 5 – 0 Džiugas Telšiai
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 58.7% | 1.70 | -22.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 58.7% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Džiugas Telšiai | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kauno Žalgiris win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 58.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai stats
Kauno Žalgiris and Džiugas Telšiai recent form
| Kauno Žalgiris |
DWLDLW |
| Džiugas Telšiai |
DLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kauno Žalgiris and Džiugas Telšiai going into this match
Kauno Žalgiris record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Džiugas Telšiai record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Kauno Žalgiris wins
2Draws
2Džiugas Telšiai wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Džiugas Telšiai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Kauno Žalgiris | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Džiugas Telšiai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Kauno Žalgiris | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Džiugas Telšiai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-09 | Džiugas Telšiai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Kauno Žalgiris | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Kauno Žalgiris | Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-04 | Džiugas Telšiai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 2-3 |
| 2024-06-02 | Džiugas Telšiai | Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Džiugas Telšiai odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.1%, draw 22.0%, away 13.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 4.10 | 6.99 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.10 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.39 | 4.30 | 6.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 4.10 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 4.23 | 6.93 |
| Unibet | 1.43 | 3.85 | 5.60 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.41 ▼ -0.05
X
4.10 ▲ +0.17
2
6.60 ▲ +0.81
9 snapshots recorded, from .