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A Lyga · Full time ·Matchday 29

Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen

2 – 2 Full time

4′D. Vinckus
19′M. RutkovskisI. E. Scotto
35′B. Isaac
44′Nathan Silva
53′D. Tibell
55′Wesley
57′B. IsaacA. Puerto
57′RichardM. Remeikis
68′A. ShchedryiE. Kausinis
68′D. KazlauskasA. Kaulinis
72′L. Ankudinovas
77′L. AnkudinovasD. Zevzikovas
77′Pedro BahiaA. Ouattara
80′V. RadonjaR. Sadauskas
86′R. Sobowale
88′D. Tibell
90′D. Tibell
90′N. PavlovskijT. Stelmokas

Telsiai Central Stadium, TelsiaiReferee: V. Paulauskas

Džiugas Telšiai 48%
Draw 27%
Hegelmann Litauen 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDžiugas TelšiaiDrawHegelmann Litauen
Model51.4%26.5%22.1%
Market46.6%27.5%25.9%
Final47.8%27.3%24.9%
Edge+4.8%-1.1%-3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Džiugas Telšiai

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Džiugas Telšiai below the model: +4.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Džiugas Telšia ↓ / Hegelmann Lita → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen expected goals

Džiugas Telšiai 1.68
Hegelmann Litauen 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.72

Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen attack and defence ratings

Džiugas Telšiai

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Hegelmann Litauen

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen: result vs prediction

Džiugas Telšiai 2 – 2 Hegelmann Litauen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

A Lyga

Before and after this match

Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Džiugas Telšiai 47.8% 2.09 +4.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.6% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Džiugas Telšiai47.8%
Draw27.3%
Hegelmann Litauen24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.1%
Under 2.548.9%
Both teams to scoreYes53.7%
No46.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)52.2%
Handicap -1Džiugas Telšiai win28.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss48.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-09.9%
2-19.7%

Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen stats

Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen recent form

newest first
Džiugas Telšiai LLWDLW
Hegelmann Litauen DLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Džiugas Telšiai record

  • They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Hegelmann Litauen record

  • They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Džiugas Telšiai wins 2Draws 7Hegelmann Litauen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-17Hegelmann LitauenDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga1-1
2026-05-01Džiugas TelšiaiHegelmann LitauenA Lyga3-0
2026-02-28Hegelmann LitauenDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga1-1
2026-01-24Hegelmann LitauenDžiugas TelšiaiFriendlies Clubs2-0
2025-10-23Hegelmann LitauenDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga4-1
2025-09-17Džiugas TelšiaiHegelmann LitauenCup1-2
2025-08-04Džiugas TelšiaiHegelmann LitauenA Lyga0-1
2025-05-17Hegelmann LitauenDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga1-0
2025-04-06Džiugas TelšiaiHegelmann LitauenA Lyga0-2
2024-10-06Hegelmann LitauenDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 27.5%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.91 3.35 3.50
1xBet 1.96 3.28 3.49
Bet365 1.90 3.40 3.40
BetVictor 1.83 3.00 3.13
Betano 1.91 3.30 3.50
Betfair 1.91 3.40 3.50
Dafabet 2.01 3.30 3.55
Marathonbet 1.94 3.28 3.42
Pinnacle 1.98 3.45 3.53
SBO 1.85 3.13 3.45
Superbet 2.02 3.25 3.50
Unibet 1.98 3.15 3.20
William Hill 1.95 3.20 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.94 ▼ -0.06
X 3.28 ▲ +0.03
2 3.49 ▲ +0.20

5 snapshots recorded, from .