Garuda Lions
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A Lyga · Full time ·Matchday 28

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai

2 – 0 Full time

LFF stadionas, Vilnius

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 57%
Draw 22%
Džiugas Telšiai 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK Zalgiris VilniusDrawDžiugas Telšiai
Model42.4%22.2%35.4%
Market62.5%21.9%15.6%
Final57.5%22.0%20.6%
Edge-20.0%+0.3%+19.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Zalgiris Vi ↓ / Džiugas Telšia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 4% 2 4% 8% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+ 5% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai expected goals

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2.08
Džiugas Telšiai 1.89

Total expected goals: 3.98

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai attack and defence ratings

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 1.54 +54%

Džiugas Telšiai

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai: result vs prediction

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2 – 0 Džiugas Telšiai

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

A Lyga

Before and after this match

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 57.5% 1.74 -20.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.8% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.1% 1.33 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.4% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Zalgiris Vilnius57.5%
Draw22.0%
Džiugas Telšiai20.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.8%
Under 2.524.2%
Both teams to scoreYes75.1%
No24.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.4%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)42.5%
Handicap -1FK Zalgiris Vilnius win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss57.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.2%
2-17.7%
2-27.3%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai stats

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai recent form

newest first
FK Zalgiris Vilnius LLLWWL
Džiugas Telšiai LWDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai going into this match

league record before kick-off

FK Zalgiris Vilnius record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).

Džiugas Telšiai record

  • They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 2Draws 1Džiugas Telšiai wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-28Džiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga0-0
2026-04-26Džiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga0-3
2026-02-21FK Zalgiris VilniusDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga2-3
2025-10-05Džiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga1-2
2025-07-19FK Zalgiris VilniusDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga2-0
2025-05-31Džiugas TelšiaiFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga1-1
2025-03-02FK Zalgiris VilniusDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 21.9%, away 15.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.43 4.15 6.19
Bet365 1.48 3.90 5.75
BetVictor 1.40 3.60 4.80
Betano 1.45 4.10 5.60
Betfair 1.40 4.40 6.00
Dafabet 1.49 4.30 5.80
Marathonbet 1.42 4.15 5.95
Pinnacle 1.47 4.32 5.94
SBO 1.44 3.87 5.13
Superbet 1.48 4.20 5.50
Unibet 1.55 3.70 4.60
William Hill 1.44 3.90 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 ▼ -0.17
X 4.12 ▲ +0.31
2 5.78 ▲ +1.05

4 snapshots recorded, from .