A Lyga
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
TransINVEST Vilnius
vs
Šiauliai
3 – 0 Full time
TransINVEST Vilnius
60%
Draw
22%
Šiauliai
18%
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai
| Probability | TransINVEST Vilnius | Draw | Šiauliai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.5% | 22.5% | 19.0% |
| Market | 60.0% | 22.0% | 18.0% |
| Final | 59.7% | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
Why TransINVEST Vilnius
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
TransINVEST Vilnius and Šiauliai expected goals
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.10
Šiauliai
1.14
Total expected goals: 3.24
TransINVEST Vilnius and Šiauliai attack and defence ratings
TransINVEST Vilnius
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Šiauliai
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.58 +58%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai: result vs prediction
TransINVEST Vilnius 3 – 0 Šiauliai
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 59.7% | 1.68 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 59.7% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Šiauliai | 18.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | TransINVEST Vilnius win | 36.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.6% |
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai stats
TransINVEST Vilnius and Šiauliai recent form
| TransINVEST Vilnius |
DLWWLL |
| Šiauliai |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
TransINVEST Vilnius and Šiauliai going into this match
TransINVEST Vilnius record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Šiauliai record
- They have won 4 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
5TransINVEST Vilnius wins
1Draws
2Šiauliai wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Šiauliai | TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Šiauliai | TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga | 0-4 |
| 2026-02-22 | TransINVEST Vilnius | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | TransINVEST Vilnius | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-05 | Šiauliai | TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-18 | TransINVEST Vilnius | Šiauliai | A Lyga | 1-3 |
| 2024-03-30 | Šiauliai | TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga | 0-1 |
| 2023-10-01 | TransINVEST Vilnius | Šiauliai | Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Šiauliai odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.0%, draw 22.0%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.10 | 5.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.15 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 4.05 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.06 |
| SBO | 1.47 | 3.87 | 4.82 |
| Superbet | 1.54 | 4.15 | 4.85 |
| Unibet | 1.41 | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.00 |