Hegelmann Litauen
vs
Banga
1 – 1 Full time
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga
| Probability | Hegelmann Litauen | Draw | Banga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.9% | 23.2% | 58.9% |
| Market | 25.7% | 27.3% | 46.9% |
| Final | 23.8% | 26.3% | 49.9% |
| Edge | -7.8% | -4.1% | +11.9% |
Why Banga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Banga below the model: +11.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga attack and defence ratings
Hegelmann Litauen
Banga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga: result vs prediction
Hegelmann Litauen 1 – 1 Banga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Banga | 49.9% | 2.00 | +11.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hegelmann Litauen | 23.8% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Banga | 49.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Banga win | 36.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 41.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 10.0% | |
| 0-2 | 9.6% |
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga stats
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga recent form
| Hegelmann Litauen |
LLLWLL |
| Banga |
WLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga going into this match
Hegelmann Litauen record
- They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Banga record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Banga | Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Banga | Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Hegelmann Litauen | Banga | A Lyga | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Hegelmann Litauen | Banga | A Lyga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Banga | Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Hegelmann Litauen | Banga | A Lyga | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Banga | Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.7%, draw 27.3%, away 46.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.58 | 3.30 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.99 |
| Marathonbet | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.55 | 3.44 | 1.97 |
| SBO | 3.23 | 3.02 | 1.97 |
| Superbet | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Unibet | 3.50 | 3.05 | 1.88 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .