Garuda Lions
Today
A Lyga · Full time ·Matchday 29

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris

0 – 0 Full time

Gargzdai stadium, GargzdaiReferee: M. Lukjancukas

Banga 37%
Draw 28%
Kauno Žalgiris 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBangaDrawKauno Žalgiris
Model53.7%26.5%19.8%
Market32.0%28.5%39.5%
Final37.4%28.0%34.6%
Edge+21.7%-2.0%-19.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Banga

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Banga below the model: +21.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Banga ↓ / Kauno Žalgiris → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 12% 13% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Banga and Kauno Žalgiris expected goals

Banga 1.53
Kauno Žalgiris 0.93

Total expected goals: 2.46

Banga and Kauno Žalgiris attack and defence ratings

Banga

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Kauno Žalgiris

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris: result vs prediction

Banga 0 – 0 Kauno Žalgiris

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

A Lyga

Before and after this match

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Banga 37.4% 2.67 +21.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.4% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.7% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Banga37.4%
Draw28.0%
Kauno Žalgiris34.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.6%
Under 2.551.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.7%
No49.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.4%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)62.6%
Handicap -1Banga win26.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-011.1%
2-010.3%

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris stats

Banga and Kauno Žalgiris recent form

newest first
Banga DWLWLW
Kauno Žalgiris WLDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Banga and Kauno Žalgiris going into this match

league record before kick-off

Banga record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Kauno Žalgiris record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Banga wins 3Draws 2Kauno Žalgiris wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-17Kauno ŽalgirisBangaA Lyga0-1
2026-05-01BangaKauno ŽalgirisA Lyga2-2
2026-02-28Kauno ŽalgirisBangaA Lyga1-0
2025-11-08Kauno ŽalgirisBangaA Lyga0-0
2025-08-30BangaKauno ŽalgirisA Lyga0-0
2025-06-30BangaKauno ŽalgirisA Lyga0-2
2025-04-27Kauno ŽalgirisBangaA Lyga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 28.5%, away 39.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.83 3.18 2.31
Betfair 2.88 3.25 2.20
Marathonbet 2.77 3.18 2.29

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.83 —
X 3.18 —
2 2.29 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .