Kauno Žalgiris
vs
Beşiktaş
1 – 0 Full time
Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş
| Probability | Kauno Žalgiris | Draw | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.5% | 33.2% | 43.3% |
| Market | 11.5% | 19.7% | 68.8% |
| Final | 14.5% | 23.1% | 62.4% |
| Edge | +11.9% | +13.5% | -25.4% |
Why Beşiktaş
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.95
Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş attack and defence ratings
Kauno Žalgiris
Beşiktaş
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş: result vs prediction
Kauno Žalgiris 1 – 0 Beşiktaş
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Play-offs fixtures
- Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht — team news & stats
- Jagiellonia vs FC Iberia 1999
- Mjallby AIF v Red Bull Salzburg — match page
- Lech Poznan vs FC Thun — team news & stats
- Beşiktaş vs Kauno Žalgiris
- Universitatea Craiova v Ararat-Armenia — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Ferencvarosi TC — team news & stats
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom
Before and after this match
Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 62.4% | 1.60 | -25.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kauno Žalgiris | 14.5% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Beşiktaş | 62.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.7% |
| No | 61.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.6% |
| 0-1 | 15.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş stats
Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş recent form
| Kauno Žalgiris |
LDLWLW |
| Beşiktaş |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş going into this match
Beşiktaş record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Beşiktaş | Kauno Žalgiris | UEFA Europa League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.5%, draw 19.7%, away 68.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 7.90 | 4.60 | 1.38 |
| 1xBet | 9.30 | 5.10 | 1.37 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 4.80 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 8.25 | 4.85 | 1.44 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 4.60 | 1.33 |
| Dafabet | 8.20 | 5.00 | 1.39 |
| Marathonbet | 8.70 | 4.75 | 1.34 |
| Pinnacle | 8.10 | 5.06 | 1.36 |
| SBO | 7.24 | 4.27 | 1.33 |
| Superbet | 7.60 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| Unibet | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.35 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .