Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 3

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK

6 – 2 Full time

9′V. Cerny
15′Orkun Kökçü
15′Ylber Ramadani
30′Gökhan Sazdağı
43′D. Vlahovic
46′Y. RamadaniE. Mahmic
46′S. GurlerC. Under
52′M. Diomande
59′D. Vlahovic
60′E. GurlukM. Thiam
63′Jesús Ramírez
66′D. Vlahovic
67′Dušan Vlahović
71′O. KokcuW. Ndidi
71′D. VlahovicOh Hyeon-Gyu
71′V. CernyI. Fakili
71′B. OzdemirFredy
71′J. RamirezM. Karlsbakk
73′I. Fakili
77′J. OlaitanF. Miretti
77′E. Mahmic
83′M. Murillo
84′L. TrossardE. Poku

Tüpraş Stadyumu, IstanbulReferee: Cagdas Altay, Türkiye

Beşiktaş 59%
Draw 25%
Çorum FK 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
52 Possession % 48
8 Corners 6
9 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 4
1 Saves 1
344 Accurate passes 328

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBeşiktaşDrawÇorum FK
Model35.2%37.6%27.1%
Market67.1%20.1%12.8%
Final59.1%24.5%16.4%
Edge-31.9%+17.5%+14.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Beşiktaş

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Beşiktaş ↓ / Çorum FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 13% 1 16% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 49%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

Beşiktaş and Çorum FK expected goals

Beşiktaş 0.88
Çorum FK 0.73

Total expected goals: 1.61

Beşiktaş and Çorum FK attack and defence ratings

Beşiktaş

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Çorum FK

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK: result vs prediction

Beşiktaş 6 – 2 Çorum FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Beşiktaş 59.1% 1.69 -31.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 78.1% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score No 68.4% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.8% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Beşiktaş59.1%
Draw24.5%
Çorum FK16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.521.9%
Under 2.578.1%
Both teams to scoreYes31.6%
No68.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)40.9%
Handicap -1Beşiktaş win12.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss64.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.3%
1-016.2%
1-114.1%

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK stats

Beşiktaş and Çorum FK recent form

newest first
Beşiktaş LLWWWW
Çorum FK LDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Beşiktaş vs Çorum FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.1%, draw 20.1%, away 12.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.41 4.40 7.50
1xBet 1.45 4.92 7.22
Bet365 1.40 4.75 7.50
BetVictor 1.40 4.40 7.50
Betano 1.47 4.75 7.50
Betfair 1.36 4.60 7.50
Dafabet 1.42 4.80 7.40
Marathonbet 1.40 4.70 6.90
Pinnacle 1.41 4.91 7.80
SBO 1.37 4.27 6.86
Superbet 1.42 4.70 6.90
Unibet 1.43 4.40 7.00
William Hill 1.40 4.40 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.41 ▲ +0.08
X 4.70 ▼ -0.80
2 7.40 ▲ +0.90

12 snapshots recorded, from .