Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 3

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK

1 – 1 Full time

Eryaman Stadyumu, AnkaraReferee: Umit Ozturk, Türkiye

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 45%
Draw 27%
Erzurumspor FK 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGençlerbirliği S.K.DrawErzurumspor FK
Model40.1%29.8%30.1%
Market46.8%26.6%26.6%
Final45.1%27.4%27.5%
Edge-6.7%+3.2%+3.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Gençlerbirliği S.K.

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gençlerbirliği ↓ / Erzurumspor FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Erzurumspor FK expected goals

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1.33
Erzurumspor FK 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.44

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Erzurumspor FK attack and defence ratings

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Erzurumspor FK

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK: result vs prediction

Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1 – 1 Erzurumspor FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 45.1% 2.22 -6.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.8% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.7% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gençlerbirliği S.K.45.1%
Draw27.4%
Erzurumspor FK27.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.2%
Under 2.555.8%
Both teams to scoreYes50.7%
No49.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.5%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)54.9%
Handicap -1Gençlerbirliği S.K. win19.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-010.2%
0-010.0%

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK stats

Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Erzurumspor FK recent form

newest first
Gençlerbirliği S.K. WWWWLW
Erzurumspor FK LLDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Gençlerbirliği S.K. wins 2Draws 2Erzurumspor FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-12Erzurumspor FKGençlerbirliği S.K.1. Lig1-2
2024-09-15Gençlerbirliği S.K.Erzurumspor FK1. Lig1-0
2024-04-21Gençlerbirliği S.K.Erzurumspor FK1. Lig2-0
2023-12-03Erzurumspor FKGençlerbirliği S.K.1. Lig1-1
2023-05-07Erzurumspor FKGençlerbirliği S.K.1. Lig0-1
2022-12-11Gençlerbirliği S.K.Erzurumspor FK1. Lig1-2
2022-05-08Gençlerbirliği S.K.Erzurumspor FK1. Lig2-1
2021-12-14Erzurumspor FKGençlerbirliği S.K.1. Lig2-0
2021-04-07Gençlerbirliği S.K.Erzurumspor FKSüper Lig1-1
2020-12-13Erzurumspor FKGençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Erzurumspor FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 26.6%, away 26.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.97 3.60 3.50
1xBet 2.01 3.58 3.93
Bet365 2.00 3.60 3.50
BetVictor 1.91 3.50 3.50
Betano 2.05 3.45 3.45
Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.50
Dafabet 2.07 3.50 3.55
Marathonbet 1.93 3.45 3.78
Pinnacle 1.94 3.53 3.96
SBO 1.99 3.06 3.12
Superbet 2.07 3.45 3.50
Unibet 1.98 3.50 3.65
William Hill 1.95 3.30 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.99 ▼ -0.11
X 3.50 ▼ -0.02
2 3.50 ▲ +0.25

8 snapshots recorded, from .