Garuda Lions
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Süper Lig · Full time ·Matchday 4

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor

1 – 0 Full time

17′E. Tozlu
26′Rayyan Baniya
45′Jackson Muleka
45′Marko Jevtović
46′A. MasuakuR. Toth
46′E. ColleyD. Turuc
46′E. DestanMostafa Mohamed
58′E. OwusuS. Akgun
59′M. FettahogluI. Diabate
64′E. TozluM. Cardoso
71′R. BaniyaJ. Dompe
72′Adil Demirbağ
75′Martín Rodríguez
86′M. IbrahimogluE. Bars
87′M. RodriguezY. Kirtay

Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu, ErzurumReferee: Yasin Kol, Türkiye

Erzurumspor FK 43%
Draw 27%
Konyaspor 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 1
35 Possession % 65
4 Corners 3
13 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
209 Accurate passes 449

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityErzurumspor FKDrawKonyaspor
Model52.5%24.3%23.2%
Market39.9%28.5%31.6%
Final43.1%27.4%29.5%
Edge+12.6%-4.1%-8.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Erzurumspor FK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.22.
  • The market prices Erzurumspor FK below the model: +12.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Erzurumspor FK ↓ / Konyaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Erzurumspor FK and Konyaspor expected goals

Erzurumspor FK 1.91
Konyaspor 1.22

Total expected goals: 3.12

Erzurumspor FK and Konyaspor attack and defence ratings

Erzurumspor FK

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Konyaspor

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor: result vs prediction

Erzurumspor FK 1 – 0 Konyaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Süper Lig

Before and after this match

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Erzurumspor FK 43.1% 2.32 +12.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.5% 2.10 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Erzurumspor FK43.1%
Draw27.4%
Konyaspor29.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes60.9%
No39.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.5%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)56.9%
Handicap -1Erzurumspor FK win30.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss47.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-19.7%
2-08.0%

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor stats

Erzurumspor FK and Konyaspor recent form

newest first
Erzurumspor FK DLLDDD
Konyaspor LLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

0Erzurumspor FK wins 0Draws 6Konyaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-07-05Erzurumspor FKKonyasporFriendlies Clubs0-4
2021-07-25Erzurumspor FKKonyasporFriendlies Clubs1-2
2021-04-04Erzurumspor FKKonyasporSüper Lig1-2
2020-12-05KonyasporErzurumspor FKSüper Lig2-0
2019-01-19Erzurumspor FKKonyasporSüper Lig1-2
2018-08-12KonyasporErzurumspor FKSüper Lig3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 28.2%, away 31.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.40 2.96
1xBet 2.44 3.35 3.09
Bet365 2.30 3.30 2.88
BetVictor 2.30 3.13 2.90
Betano 2.30 3.30 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.40 2.88
Dafabet 2.31 3.45 3.05
Marathonbet 2.35 3.22 2.97
Pinnacle 2.46 3.30 3.10
SBO 2.16 3.08 2.92
Superbet 2.30 3.40 3.05
Unibet 2.32 3.40 2.95
William Hill 2.30 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▼ -0.02
X 3.26 ▼ -0.14
2 2.94 ▲ +0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from .