Başakşehir
vs
Galatasaray
2 – 3 Full time
| 16′ | V. Osimhen | ||
| 33′ | V. OsimhenB. Yilmaz | ||
| 37′ | Christopher Operi | ||
| 46′ | M. LeminaA. Bardakci | ||
| 63′ | Roland Sallai | ||
| 63′ | C. OperiS. Kharebashvili | ||
| 66′ | Davinson Sánchez | ||
| 66′ | E. Shomurodov | ||
| 68′ | A. BatrakovR. Leao | ||
| 71′ | L. Torreira | ||
| 74′ | A. FayzullaevI. Brnic | ||
| 74′ | J. KaluzinskiU. Bozok | ||
| 76′ | D. Sanchez | ||
| 78′ | Rafael Leão | ||
| 79′ | Umut Bozok | ||
| 83′ | O. SahinerM. Karbownik | ||
| 83′ | A. Skov OlsenO. Ba | ||
| 83′ | I. JakobsE. Elmali | ||
| 83′ | L. SaneD. Gul | ||
| 89′ | Saba Kharebashvili | ||
| 90′ | Gabriel Sara |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 326 | Accurate passes | 371 |
Başakşehir vs Galatasaray overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Başakşehir vs Galatasaray
| Probability | Başakşehir | Draw | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.4% | 26.1% | 35.5% |
| Market | 19.1% | 22.3% | 58.6% |
| Final | 23.9% | 23.3% | 52.8% |
| Edge | +19.3% | +3.8% | -23.1% |
Why Galatasaray
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Başakşehir and Galatasaray expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Başakşehir and Galatasaray attack and defence ratings
Başakşehir
Galatasaray
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Başakşehir vs Galatasaray: result vs prediction
Başakşehir 2 – 3 Galatasaray
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Başakşehir vs Galatasaray markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 52.8% | 1.89 | -23.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Başakşehir | 23.9% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Galatasaray | 52.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 64.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Başakşehir vs Galatasaray stats
Başakşehir and Galatasaray recent form
| Başakşehir |
DLWLDW |
| Galatasaray |
WWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Başakşehir vs Galatasaray head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Galatasaray | Başakşehir | Süper Lig | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Galatasaray | Başakşehir | Türkiye Kupası | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Başakşehir | Galatasaray | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-30 | Galatasaray | Başakşehir | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-12 | Başakşehir | Galatasaray | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-08 | Galatasaray | Başakşehir | Türkiye Kupası | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-10 | Galatasaray | Başakşehir | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Başakşehir | Galatasaray | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2023-05-08 | Galatasaray | Başakşehir | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-05 | Galatasaray | Başakşehir | Türkiye Kupası | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Başakşehir vs Galatasaray odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.1%, draw 22.3%, away 58.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.00 | 4.30 | 1.58 |
| 1xBet | 5.04 | 4.47 | 1.64 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.25 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 4.90 | 4.50 | 1.61 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 4.25 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | 5.13 | 4.46 | 1.62 |
| SBO | 4.24 | 3.87 | 1.58 |
| Superbet | 4.55 | 4.20 | 1.66 |
| Unibet | 4.60 | 4.20 | 1.64 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .