Alanyaspor
vs
Beşiktaş
1 – 0 Full time
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş
| Probability | Alanyaspor | Draw | Beşiktaş |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.0% | 30.9% | 48.1% |
| Market | 20.2% | 26.1% | 53.6% |
| Final | 20.4% | 27.3% | 52.3% |
| Edge | +0.7% | +4.7% | -5.5% |
Why Beşiktaş
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alanyaspor and Beşiktaş expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Alanyaspor and Beşiktaş attack and defence ratings
Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş: result vs prediction
Alanyaspor 1 – 0 Beşiktaş
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beşiktaş | 52.3% | 1.91 | -5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alanyaspor | 20.4% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Beşiktaş | 52.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beşiktaş win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 51.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.7% |
| 1-1 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş stats
Alanyaspor and Beşiktaş recent form
| Alanyaspor |
DLWDLL |
| Beşiktaş |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Beşiktaş | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Alanyaspor | Beşiktaş | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.6%, draw 26.1%, away 53.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.65 | 3.70 | 1.90 |
| 1xBet | 4.72 | 3.72 | 1.82 |
| 888Sport | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 3.75 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.65 | 1.78 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 3.58 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | 4.82 | 3.72 | 1.79 |
| SBO | 4.17 | 3.39 | 1.75 |
| Superbet | 4.50 | 3.65 | 1.77 |
| Unibet | 4.20 | 3.55 | 1.76 |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .