A Lyga · Full time ·Matchday 24

Banga vs Panevėžys

0 – 3 Full time

28′E. Burdzilauskas
61′V. AntuzisU. Cande
64′V. PaulauskasE. Veliulis
64′M. van den BosR. Rasimavicius
64′N. PetkeviciusI. Asante
67′P. Bizoza
67′I. VenckusA. Appiah
72′J. BopesuD. Balsys
76′S. Kerkez
81′N. ZebrauskasM. Ambrazaitis
84′K. AsamoahJ. Janusevskis
89′E. Veliulis

Gargzdai stadium, GargzdaiReferee: D. Svegzda

Banga 50%
Draw 28%
Panevėžys 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Banga vs Panevėžys overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Banga vs Panevėžys

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBangaDrawPanevėžys
Model51.3%29.8%19.0%
Market49.6%27.8%22.6%
Final50.0%28.3%21.7%
Edge+1.7%+2.0%-3.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Banga

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.76.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Banga ↓ / Panevėžys → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 7% 1 15% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Banga and Panevėžys expected goals

Banga 1.41
Panevėžys 0.76

Total expected goals: 2.17

Banga and Panevėžys attack and defence ratings

Banga

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Panevėžys

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Banga vs Panevėžys: result vs prediction

Banga 0 – 3 Panevėžys

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

A Lyga

Before and after this match

Banga vs Panevėžys markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Banga 50.0% 2.00 +1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.1% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Banga50.0%
Draw28.3%
Panevėžys21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.9%
Under 2.563.1%
Both teams to scoreYes41.5%
No58.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)50.0%
Handicap -1Banga win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss48.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.9%
1-113.5%
0-012.6%

Banga vs Panevėžys stats

Banga and Panevėžys recent form

newest first
Banga DDWLWL
Panevėžys WLLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Banga and Panevėžys going into this match

league record before kick-off

Banga record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Panevėžys record

  • They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Banga vs Panevėžys head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Banga wins 3Draws 4Panevėžys wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24PanevėžysBangaA Lyga1-0
2026-03-21BangaPanevėžysA Lyga0-1
2025-10-18BangaPanevėžysA Lyga2-2
2025-08-20PanevėžysBangaA Lyga1-0
2025-05-23BangaPanevėžysA Lyga1-1
2025-03-30PanevėžysBangaA Lyga1-1
2024-09-15BangaPanevėžysA Lyga2-3
2024-06-29PanevėžysBangaA Lyga0-1
2024-05-11BangaPanevėžysA Lyga2-0
2024-03-16PanevėžysBangaA Lyga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Banga vs Panevėžys odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 27.8%, away 22.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.77 3.60 3.90
1xBet 1.80 3.18 4.34
Bet365 1.80 3.50 3.60
BetVictor 1.70 3.13 3.40
Betano 1.78 3.40 3.95
Betfair 1.75 3.60 3.90
Dafabet 1.84 3.35 4.20
Marathonbet 1.78 3.18 4.25
Pinnacle 1.84 3.17 4.56
SBO 1.80 3.21 3.58
Superbet 1.82 3.20 4.40
Unibet 1.68 3.15 4.35
William Hill 1.80 3.40 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.15
X 3.21 ▼ -0.51
2 3.95 ▼ -0.42

8 snapshots recorded, from .