A Lyga · Full time ·Matchday 31

Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius

1 – 3 Full time

10′R. Sveikauskas
27′E. Kloniunas
32′Xabi Auzmendi
36′T. Mavretic
46′H. TanakaY. Glushach
49′S. Milosevic
64′D. NorvilasU. Cande
65′A. OlugbogiA. Appiah
65′I. VenckusD. Lukas
67′M. Sato
70′R. Sveikauskas
74′M. Musolitin
75′N. Zebrauskas
75′U. Cande
82′M. SatoM. Ambrazaitis
89′T. Mavretic

Gargzdai stadium, GargzdaiReferee: R. Smitas

Banga 38%
Draw 29%
TransINVEST Vilnius 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBangaDrawTransINVEST Vilnius
Model38.2%30.0%31.7%
Market37.3%28.5%34.2%
Final37.5%28.9%33.6%
Edge+0.9%+1.5%-2.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Banga ↓ / TransINVEST Vi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Banga and TransINVEST Vilnius expected goals

Banga 1.28
TransINVEST Vilnius 1.14

Total expected goals: 2.42

Banga and TransINVEST Vilnius attack and defence ratings

Banga

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.92 -8%

TransINVEST Vilnius

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius: result vs prediction

Banga 1 – 3 TransINVEST Vilnius

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

A Lyga

Before and after this match

Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Banga 37.5% 2.66 +0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.3% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.8% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Banga37.5%
Draw28.9%
TransINVEST Vilnius33.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.7%
Under 2.556.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.4%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Banga win17.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss61.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
1-010.0%

Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius stats

Banga and TransINVEST Vilnius recent form

newest first
Banga LDDWLW
TransINVEST Vilnius LWDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Banga and TransINVEST Vilnius going into this match

league record before kick-off

Banga record

  • They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

TransINVEST Vilnius record

  • They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Banga wins 2Draws 2TransINVEST Vilnius wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-12TransINVEST VilniusBangaA Lyga1-3
2026-05-10BangaTransINVEST VilniusA Lyga2-2
2026-03-11TransINVEST VilniusBangaA Lyga1-0
2024-11-02BangaTransINVEST VilniusA Lyga1-1
2024-08-10TransINVEST VilniusBangaA Lyga0-1
2024-06-15BangaTransINVEST VilniusA Lyga2-0
2024-04-13TransINVEST VilniusBangaA Lyga0-1
2024-02-17TransINVEST VilniusBangaFriendlies Clubs0-2
2023-08-16TransINVEST VilniusBangaCup2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.4%, draw 28.6%, away 34.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.40 3.14 2.65
Bet365 2.38 3.40 2.55
BetVictor 2.25 2.90 2.45
Betano 2.42 3.15 2.62
Betfair 2.40 3.30 2.60
Marathonbet 2.40 3.14 2.65
Pinnacle 2.50 3.19 2.74
SBO 2.36 2.98 2.56
Unibet 2.16 3.10 2.85
William Hill 2.50 2.90 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▼ -0.07
X 3.14 ▼ -0.21
2 2.62 ▲ +0.16

9 snapshots recorded, from .