A Lyga
·
Full time
·Matchday 31
Suduva Marijampole
vs
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | H. UzochukwuT. Milasius | ||
| 51′ | S. M. Sanokho | ||
| 61′ | F. TangiriT. Lucky | ||
| 61′ | M. ChajiaF. Steponavicius | ||
| 64′ | N. Petkovic | ||
| 68′ | K. UpstasP. Golubickas | ||
| 68′ | N. MihajlovicB. Teixeira | ||
| 77′ | I. SeckM. Mikulenas | ||
| 77′ | S. M. SanokhoD. Antanavicius | ||
| 81′ | N. PetkovicG. Jarusevicius | ||
| 81′ | M. CapanO. Verbickas | ||
| 81′ | D. FrankeS. Mamatsashvili | ||
| 87′ | P. Golubickas |
Suduva Marijampole
43%
Draw
26%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
31%
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
| Probability | Suduva Marijampole | Draw | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.3% | 19.3% | 18.4% |
| Market | 36.5% | 28.0% | 35.5% |
| Final | 43.0% | 25.8% | 31.2% |
| Edge | +25.8% | -8.6% | -17.1% |
Why Suduva Marijampole
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Suduva Marijampole below the model: +25.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Suduva Marijampole and FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected goals
Suduva Marijampole
2.55
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.37
Total expected goals: 3.92
Suduva Marijampole and FK Zalgiris Vilnius attack and defence ratings
Suduva Marijampole
Attack
1.37 +37%
Defence
0.90 -10%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: result vs prediction
Suduva Marijampole 0 – 0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suduva Marijampole | 43.0% | 2.33 | +25.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Suduva Marijampole win | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suduva Marijampole | 43.0% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% |
| No | 30.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Suduva Marijampole win | 42.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 37.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 7.7% | |
| 3-1 | 7.5% |
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius stats
Suduva Marijampole and FK Zalgiris Vilnius recent form
| Suduva Marijampole |
LWWWWW |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Suduva Marijampole and FK Zalgiris Vilnius going into this match
Suduva Marijampole record
- They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
0Suduva Marijampole wins
5Draws
5FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Suduva Marijampole | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-10 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Suduva Marijampole | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-07 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Suduva Marijampole | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-16 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-25 | Suduva Marijampole | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-23 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 4-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Suduva Marijampole | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-10 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 27.9%, away 35.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 2.90 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.00 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.34 | 2.62 |
| SBO | 2.42 | 2.95 | 2.39 |
| Unibet | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.45 ▼ -0.02
X
3.20 ▼ -0.05
2
2.52 ▲ +0.07
9 snapshots recorded, from .