Garuda Lions
Today
A Lyga · Full time ·Matchday 32

TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius

3 – 0 Full time

18′D. BarauskasH. Tanaka
33′D. Franke
41′Xabi Auzmendi
50′S. Milosevic
53′E. Girdvainis
55′M. Musolitin
60′D. FrankeK. Upstas
60′N. MihajlovicG. Jarusevicius
69′M. VareikaJ. Usavicius
69′M. CapanI. Lytvynenko
75′Xabi AuzmendiC. Nwoga
76′H. Tanaka
81′P. GolubickasL. Antal

FK TransINVEST stadium, GalineReferee: V. Paulauskas

TransINVEST Vilnius 37%
Draw 26%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius overview

Garuda Lions analysis: TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTransINVEST VilniusDrawFK Zalgiris Vilnius
Model47.1%23.6%29.3%
Market33.0%26.4%40.5%
Final36.6%25.7%37.7%
Edge+14.1%-2.8%-11.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

TransINVEST Vi ↓ / FK Zalgiris Vi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

TransINVEST Vilnius and FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected goals

TransINVEST Vilnius 1.97
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.53

Total expected goals: 3.50

TransINVEST Vilnius and FK Zalgiris Vilnius attack and defence ratings

TransINVEST Vilnius

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.99 -1%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: result vs prediction

TransINVEST Vilnius 3 – 0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

A Lyga

Before and after this match

TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 37.7% 2.65 -11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.9% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.3% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.7% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2TransINVEST Vilnius36.6%
Draw25.7%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius37.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.9%
Under 2.532.1%
Both teams to scoreYes68.3%
No31.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.3%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1FK Zalgiris Vilnius win14.1%
Push (exactly one goal)15.2%
Loss70.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
2-19.0%
1-27.0%

TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius stats

TransINVEST Vilnius and FK Zalgiris Vilnius recent form

newest first
TransINVEST Vilnius WLWDLW
FK Zalgiris Vilnius WDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

TransINVEST Vilnius and FK Zalgiris Vilnius going into this match

league record before kick-off

TransINVEST Vilnius record

  • They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

FK Zalgiris Vilnius record

  • They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).

TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4TransINVEST Vilnius wins 0Draws 5FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-19FK Zalgiris VilniusTransINVEST VilniusA Lyga3-1
2026-05-17TransINVEST VilniusFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga1-0
2026-03-16FK Zalgiris VilniusTransINVEST VilniusA Lyga1-2
2024-10-26TransINVEST VilniusFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga0-1
2024-08-14FK Zalgiris VilniusTransINVEST VilniusA Lyga2-0
2024-06-02TransINVEST VilniusFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga1-3
2024-05-30TransINVEST VilniusFK Zalgiris VilniusCup2-1
2024-04-10FK Zalgiris VilniusTransINVEST VilniusA Lyga2-0
2024-02-10FK Zalgiris VilniusTransINVEST VilniusFriendlies Clubs0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.0%, draw 26.4%, away 40.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.78 3.38 2.21
Bet365 2.60 3.50 2.20
BetVictor 2.50 3.13 2.10
Betano 2.77 3.40 2.20
Betfair 2.70 3.60 2.20
Marathonbet 2.71 3.38 2.19
Pinnacle 2.78 3.53 2.30
SBO 2.62 3.16 2.21
William Hill 2.70 3.25 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.71 ▼ -0.38
X 3.38 ▼ -0.17
2 2.21 ▲ +0.14

10 snapshots recorded, from .