Garuda Lions
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A Lyga · Full time ·Matchday 22

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole

4 – 0 Full time

6′M. Vareika
14′A. Zivanovic
45′S. M. Sanokho
45′R. Grigalava
60′I. SeckT. Lucky
60′F. SteponaviciusT. Milasius
60′A. ZivanovicF. Tangiri
62′O. VerbickasM. Capan
62′M. VareikaB. Teixeira
71′B. Teixeira
73′N. MihajlovicG. Jarusevicius
73′S. BilenkyiN. Petkovic
73′M. ChajiaO. Haydary
73′S. M. SanokhoY. Omori
76′G. Jarusevicius
78′P. GolubickasL. Antal
81′B. Teixeira

LFF stadionas, VilniusReferee: R. Valikonis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 37%
Draw 27%
Suduva Marijampole 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK Zalgiris VilniusDrawSuduva Marijampole
Model25.7%24.5%49.8%
Market41.3%27.5%31.2%
Final37.4%26.7%35.8%
Edge-3.9%-0.7%+4.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Zalgiris Vi ↓ / Suduva Marijam → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Suduva Marijampole expected goals

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.31
Suduva Marijampole 1.88

Total expected goals: 3.19

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Suduva Marijampole attack and defence ratings

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Suduva Marijampole

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole: result vs prediction

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4 – 0 Suduva Marijampole

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 37.4% 2.67 -3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.9% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.3% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Zalgiris Vilnius37.4%
Draw26.7%
Suduva Marijampole35.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.8%
Under 2.538.2%
Both teams to scoreYes62.9%
No37.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.2%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)62.6%
Handicap -1FK Zalgiris Vilnius win11.3%
Push (exactly one goal)14.4%
Loss74.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.5%
0-27.3%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole stats

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Suduva Marijampole recent form

newest first
FK Zalgiris Vilnius LWDWLW
Suduva Marijampole DDLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Suduva Marijampole going into this match

league record before kick-off

FK Zalgiris Vilnius record

  • They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).

Suduva Marijampole record

  • They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 5Draws 0Suduva Marijampole wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-13Suduva MarijampoleFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga0-0
2026-05-10Suduva MarijampoleFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga1-1
2026-03-10FK Zalgiris VilniusSuduva MarijampoleA Lyga1-0
2025-09-29Suduva MarijampoleFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga1-3
2025-08-07FK Zalgiris VilniusSuduva MarijampoleA Lyga1-0
2025-06-19Suduva MarijampoleFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga2-2
2025-04-16FK Zalgiris VilniusSuduva MarijampoleA Lyga3-0
2024-08-25Suduva MarijampoleFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga1-1
2024-06-23FK Zalgiris VilniusSuduva MarijampoleA Lyga4-0
2024-04-28Suduva MarijampoleFK Zalgiris VilniusA Lyga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 27.5%, away 31.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.20 3.28 2.86
Bet365 2.15 3.30 2.90
BetVictor 2.05 3.00 2.63
Betano 2.18 3.20 2.92
Betfair 2.15 3.40 2.88
Dafabet 2.21 3.35 3.05
Marathonbet 2.18 3.28 2.79
Pinnacle 2.23 3.29 3.06
SBO 2.15 3.11 2.75
William Hill 2.20 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.18 —
X 3.28 ▼ -0.07
2 2.89 ▼ -0.10

9 snapshots recorded, from .