Garuda Lions
Today
A Lyga · Full time ·Matchday 32

Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai

2 – 0 Full time

17′N. Pavlovskij
22′L. AnkudinovasV. Piliukaitis
31′D. Zevzikovas
46′CaduA. Levsinas
47′D. Malzinskas
63′D. ZevzikovasAndrezinho
67′B. Asomugha
77′A. Appiah
78′A. AppiahD. Norvilas
81′M. SatoI. Venckus
81′U. CandeD. Lukas
85′J. Simao
87′D. BunchukovA. Balasanov
87′D. VinckusT. Stelmokas
87′R. SobowaleA. Ouattara
90′V. MagdusauskasV. Jurgutis

Gargzdai stadium, GargzdaiReferee: D. Rumsas

Banga 46%
Draw 28%
Džiugas Telšiai 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBangaDrawDžiugas Telšiai
Model49.1%26.2%24.7%
Market44.6%28.3%27.0%
Final45.8%27.8%26.5%
Edge+4.5%-2.2%-2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Banga

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.15.
  • The market prices Banga below the model: +4.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Banga ↓ / Džiugas Telšia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Banga and Džiugas Telšiai expected goals

Banga 1.71
Džiugas Telšiai 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.86

Banga and Džiugas Telšiai attack and defence ratings

Banga

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Džiugas Telšiai

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai: result vs prediction

Banga 2 – 0 Džiugas Telšiai

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

A Lyga

Before and after this match

Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Banga 45.8% 2.19 +4.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.5% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.9% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Banga45.8%
Draw27.8%
Džiugas Telšiai26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.5%
Under 2.545.5%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1Banga win27.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss50.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
2-19.6%
1-08.6%

Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai stats

Banga and Džiugas Telšiai recent form

newest first
Banga LLDDWL
Džiugas Telšiai LDLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Banga and Džiugas Telšiai going into this match

league record before kick-off

Banga record

  • They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Džiugas Telšiai record

  • They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Banga wins 3Draws 4Džiugas Telšiai wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-19Džiugas TelšiaiBangaA Lyga1-0
2026-05-20Džiugas TelšiaiBangaCup0-0
2026-05-16Džiugas TelšiaiBangaA Lyga0-1
2026-03-15BangaDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga0-1
2025-09-26BangaDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga0-1
2025-07-13Džiugas TelšiaiBangaA Lyga0-0
2025-06-19Džiugas TelšiaiBangaA Lyga0-1
2025-04-16BangaDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga0-1
2024-09-22Džiugas TelšiaiBangaA Lyga0-2
2024-07-06BangaDžiugas TelšiaiA Lyga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.6%, draw 28.3%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.96 3.15 3.55
Bet365 2.05 3.20 3.20
BetVictor 1.90 2.90 3.00
Betano 2.02 3.20 3.30
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.30
Marathonbet 1.94 3.14 3.58
Pinnacle 2.10 3.20 3.47
SBO 2.00 3.05 3.09
William Hill 2.05 3.10 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.18
X 3.15 ▼ -0.30
2 3.30 ▼ -0.69

9 snapshots recorded, from .