Chelsea
vs
Bournemouth
5 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | Jordan Henderson | ||
| 3′ | Morgan Rogers | ||
| 10′ | Marcus Tavernier | ||
| 42′ | Adrien Truffert | ||
| 45′ | David BrooksBen Gannon-Doak | ||
| 46′ | João Pedro | ||
| 51′ | Francisco Evanilson | ||
| 62′ | Tyler Adams | ||
| 67′ | João Pedro | ||
| 69′ | Ryan Christie | ||
| 70′ | Jordan Henderson | ||
| 72′ | Moises CaicedoRomeo Lavia | ||
| 72′ | João PedroMarco Palestra | ||
| 72′ | Adam SmithJuanlu Sánchez | ||
| 72′ | Marcus TavernierÁlvaro Rodríguez | ||
| 73′ | Ryan ChristieLewis Cook | ||
| 83′ | Pedro NetoDanny Welbeck | ||
| 84′ | Morgan RogersEstêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves | ||
| 84′ | Adrien TruffertJulio Soler | ||
| 88′ | Cole PalmerMalo Gusto |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 400 | Accurate passes | 386 |
Chelsea vs Bournemouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chelsea vs Bournemouth
| Probability | Chelsea | Draw | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 23.3% | 41.1% |
| Market | 54.2% | 23.5% | 22.3% |
| Final | 49.5% | 23.5% | 27.0% |
| Edge | -4.7% | -0.0% | +4.7% |
Why Chelsea
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chelsea and Bournemouth expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.79
Chelsea and Bournemouth attack and defence ratings
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth: result vs prediction
Chelsea 5 – 1 Bournemouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chelsea vs Bournemouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chelsea | 49.5% | 2.02 | -4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chelsea | 49.5% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Bournemouth | 27.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% |
| No | 25.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chelsea win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.2% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Chelsea vs Bournemouth stats
Chelsea and Bournemouth recent form
| Chelsea |
LDWLWW |
| Bournemouth |
LWDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chelsea and Bournemouth going into this match
Chelsea record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Bournemouth record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | Chelsea | Bournemouth | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Bournemouth | Chelsea | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-14 | Chelsea | Bournemouth | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-14 | Bournemouth | Chelsea | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Chelsea | Bournemouth | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-17 | Bournemouth | Chelsea | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-06 | Bournemouth | Chelsea | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2022-12-27 | Chelsea | Bournemouth | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2021-07-27 | Bournemouth | Chelsea | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.2%, draw 23.5%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 4.26 | 4.58 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 4.15 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.00 | 4.39 |
| SBO | 1.76 | 3.68 | 3.76 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
55 snapshots recorded, from .