Bournemouth
vs
Liverpool
0 – 1 Full time
| 46′ | Dominik Szoboszlai | ||
| 57′ | Alexander Isak | ||
| 58′ | Alexander Isak | ||
| 71′ | Florian WirtzTreymaurice Nyoni | ||
| 72′ | Bradley BarcolaVíctor Muñoz | ||
| 75′ | Adam SmithLewis Cook | ||
| 75′ | Ryan ChristieDaniel Jebbison | ||
| 75′ | Marcus TavernierDavid Brooks | ||
| 81′ | Alexander IsakLewis Koumas | ||
| 81′ | Dominik SzoboszlaiRyan Gravenberch | ||
| 81′ | Antonio Silva | ||
| 88′ | Tyler AdamsBen Gannon-Doak | ||
| 88′ | Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaAlex Tóth |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 297 | Accurate passes | 384 |
Bournemouth vs Liverpool overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bournemouth vs Liverpool
| Probability | Bournemouth | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.7% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| Market | 30.7% | 25.0% | 44.3% |
| Final | 37.4% | 24.2% | 38.4% |
| Edge | +27.0% | -3.4% | -23.6% |
Why Liverpool
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bournemouth and Liverpool expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.61
Bournemouth and Liverpool attack and defence ratings
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool: result vs prediction
Bournemouth 0 – 1 Liverpool
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bournemouth vs Liverpool markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Liverpool | 38.4% | 2.61 | -23.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bournemouth | 37.4% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Liverpool | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% |
| No | 31.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Liverpool win | 9.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.4% | |
| Loss | 79.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Bournemouth vs Liverpool stats
Bournemouth and Liverpool recent form
| Bournemouth |
WDWDDL |
| Liverpool |
WDWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Bournemouth | Liverpool | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-15 | Liverpool | Bournemouth | Premier League | 4-2 |
| 2025-02-01 | Bournemouth | Liverpool | Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Liverpool | Bournemouth | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2024-01-21 | Bournemouth | Liverpool | Premier League | 0-4 |
| 2023-11-01 | Bournemouth | Liverpool | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-19 | Liverpool | Bournemouth | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Bournemouth | Liverpool | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-27 | Liverpool | Bournemouth | Premier League | 9-0 |
| 2020-03-07 | Liverpool | Bournemouth | Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.7%, draw 25.0%, away 44.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.22 | 3.90 | 2.23 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.14 | 3.80 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17 | 3.85 | 2.18 |
| SBO | 2.83 | 3.46 | 2.14 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
29 snapshots recorded, from .