Real Sociedad
vs
Bournemouth
1 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | Justin Kluivert | ||
| 20′ | Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha | ||
| 24′ | Benat Turrientes | ||
| 33′ | Ander Barrenetxea | ||
| 42′ | Justin Kluivert | ||
| 45′ | Hector FortGonçalo Guedes | ||
| 52′ | Adrien Truffert | ||
| 57′ | Sergio Gómez | ||
| 58′ | Benat TurrientesJon Gorrotxategi | ||
| 63′ | Adam SmithBafode Diakite | ||
| 63′ | Tyler AdamsRyan Christie | ||
| 69′ | Bafode Diakite | ||
| 71′ | Rayan Vitor Simplício RochaBen Gannon-Doak | ||
| 71′ | Francisco EvanilsonÁlvaro Rodríguez | ||
| 73′ | Mikel OyarzabalLuka Sučić | ||
| 75′ | Orri Steinn Óskarsson | ||
| 83′ | Justin KluivertDavid Brooks | ||
| 83′ | Ander BarrenetxeaTakefusa Kubo | ||
| 84′ | Yangel HerreraArsen Zakharyan |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 493 | Accurate passes | 282 |
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth
| Probability | Real Sociedad | Draw | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.4% | 22.5% | 53.1% |
| Market | 31.6% | 26.3% | 42.1% |
| Final | 29.8% | 25.4% | 44.9% |
| Edge | -7.2% | -3.8% | +11.0% |
Why Bournemouth
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.42.
- The market prices Bournemouth below the model: +11.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Sociedad and Bournemouth expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Real Sociedad and Bournemouth attack and defence ratings
Real Sociedad
Bournemouth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth: result vs prediction
Real Sociedad 1 – 2 Bournemouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bournemouth | 44.9% | 2.23 | +11.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 29.8% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Bournemouth | 44.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bournemouth win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 1-3 | 6.6% |
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth stats
Real Sociedad and Bournemouth recent form
| Real Sociedad |
LWDWLL |
| Bournemouth |
DWDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-09 | Bournemouth | Real Sociedad | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-30 | Bournemouth | Real Sociedad | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.6%, draw 26.3%, away 42.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 3.72 | 2.27 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.65 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.10 | 3.72 | 2.27 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14 | 3.67 | 2.26 |
| SBO | 2.89 | 3.44 | 2.21 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .