Nottingham Forest
vs
Coventry
0 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Ephron Mason-ClarkLoum Tchaouna | ||
| 55′ | Jay Dasilva | ||
| 59′ | Liam Delap | ||
| 59′ | Dan NdoyeIgor Jesus | ||
| 73′ | Ousmane DiomandeChris Wood | ||
| 74′ | Jack RudoniEllis Simms | ||
| 83′ | Daniel MuñozLuca Netz | ||
| 83′ | James McateeIbrahim Sangaré | ||
| 90′ | Caleb YirenkyiJoel Latibeaudiere | ||
| 90′ | Jair Cunha |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 427 | Accurate passes | 236 |
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Coventry
| Probability | Nottingham Forest | Draw | Coventry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.2% | 23.7% | 24.1% |
| Market | 58.4% | 23.9% | 17.7% |
| Final | 56.9% | 23.8% | 19.3% |
| Edge | -6.2% | -0.2% | +6.4% |
Why Nottingham Forest
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.40.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nottingham Forest and Coventry expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Nottingham Forest and Coventry attack and defence ratings
Nottingham Forest
Coventry
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry: result vs prediction
Nottingham Forest 0 – 1 Coventry
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nottingham Forest | 56.9% | 1.76 | -6.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nottingham Forest | 56.9% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Coventry | 19.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% |
| No | 32.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nottingham Forest win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 47.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 6.6% |
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry stats
Nottingham Forest and Coventry recent form
| Nottingham Forest |
WDDLLD |
| Coventry |
LLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-08 | Nottingham Forest | Coventry | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2022-04-06 | Nottingham Forest | Coventry | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-08 | Coventry | Nottingham Forest | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2021-02-02 | Coventry | Nottingham Forest | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2020-11-04 | Nottingham Forest | Coventry | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2012-02-18 | Nottingham Forest | Coventry | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2011-10-15 | Coventry | Nottingham Forest | Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.5%, draw 24.0%, away 17.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 4.16 | 5.49 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 4.05 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.59 | 4.75 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .