Newcastle United
vs
Hull City
2 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Joe Willock | ||
| 7′ | Lewis Hall | ||
| 29′ | Matt Crooks | ||
| 39′ | Mohamed Belloumi | ||
| 45′ | Konstantinos Tzolakis | ||
| 45′ | Jacob Murphy | ||
| 45′ | Matt CrooksTim Iroegbunam | ||
| 49′ | Ryan Giles | ||
| 63′ | Sorba ThomasMohamed Ali Cho | ||
| 66′ | Sean SteurFabian Schär | ||
| 67′ | Mohamed Ali Cho | ||
| 74′ | Matias Fernandez-PardoBazoumana Touré | ||
| 78′ | Regan SlaterLucas Gourna-Douath | ||
| 78′ | John EganRobinio Vaz | ||
| 83′ | Mohamed BelloumiJoe Gelhardt | ||
| 87′ | Joe WillockAladji Bamba |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 4 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 448 | Accurate passes | 295 |
Newcastle United vs Hull City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Newcastle United vs Hull City
| Probability | Newcastle United | Draw | Hull City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.9% | 31.8% | 39.3% |
| Market | 59.5% | 22.1% | 18.4% |
| Final | 51.8% | 24.5% | 23.6% |
| Edge | -30.6% | +9.7% | +20.9% |
Why Newcastle United
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Newcastle United and Hull City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Newcastle United and Hull City attack and defence ratings
Newcastle United
Hull City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Newcastle United vs Hull City: result vs prediction
Newcastle United 2 – 1 Hull City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Newcastle United vs Hull City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Newcastle United | 51.8% | 1.93 | -30.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Newcastle United | 51.8% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Hull City | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.3% |
| No | 50.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Newcastle United win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 71.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 15.0% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-1 | 10.3% |
Newcastle United vs Hull City stats
Newcastle United and Hull City recent form
| Newcastle United |
LWDWWD |
| Hull City |
DLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Newcastle United vs Hull City head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-27 | Hull City | Newcastle United | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2016-11-29 | Hull City | Newcastle United | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2015-01-31 | Hull City | Newcastle United | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2014-09-20 | Newcastle United | Hull City | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2014-03-01 | Hull City | Newcastle United | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2013-09-21 | Newcastle United | Hull City | Premier League | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Newcastle United vs Hull City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 22.1%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.47 | 5.34 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 4.35 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.34 | 5.33 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.87 | 4.82 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .