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Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Leeds vs Crystal Palace

0 – 0 Full time

38′Jayden Bogle
45′Takehiro TomiyasuJefferson Lerma
62′Ao Tanaka
64′Adam Wharton
67′Jayden BogleDaniel James
67′Ao TanakaBrenden Aaronson
76′Noah OkaforLukas Nmecha
81′Yeremy Pino
82′Yeremy PinoIsmaila Sarr
82′Jörgen Strand LarsenEddie Nketiah
90′Gabriel GudmundssonJean Matteo Bahoya
90′Jefferson Lerma

Elland Road, LeedsReferee: Adam Herczeg

Leeds 52%
Draw 24%
Crystal Palace 24%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
51 Possession % 49
4 Corners 3
10 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
5 Saves 2
337 Accurate passes 338

Leeds vs Crystal Palace overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeedsDrawCrystal Palace
Model40.4%21.8%37.7%
Market55.9%24.3%19.8%
Final52.0%23.7%24.3%
Edge-15.5%-2.5%+17.9%

Confidence: High

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leeds ↓ / Crystal Palace → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 5% 4% 4+ 5% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Leeds and Crystal Palace expected goals

Leeds 2.08
Crystal Palace 2.11

Total expected goals: 4.18

Leeds and Crystal Palace attack and defence ratings

Leeds

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Crystal Palace

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Leeds vs Crystal Palace: result vs prediction

Leeds 0 – 0 Crystal Palace

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Leeds vs Crystal Palace markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Leeds 52.0% 1.92 -15.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.1% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 78.9% 1.27 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leeds52.0%
Draw23.7%
Crystal Palace24.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.1%
Under 2.519.9%
Both teams to scoreYes78.9%
No21.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.7%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)48.0%
Handicap -1Leeds win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-17.3%
2-27.3%
2-16.9%

Leeds vs Crystal Palace stats

Leeds and Crystal Palace recent form

newest first
Leeds WLDDWW
Crystal Palace WLWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leeds vs Crystal Palace head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Leeds wins 4Draws 3Crystal Palace wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15Crystal PalaceLeedsPremier League0-0
2025-12-20LeedsCrystal PalacePremier League4-1
2023-04-09LeedsCrystal PalacePremier League1-5
2022-10-09Crystal PalaceLeedsPremier League2-1
2022-07-22Crystal PalaceLeedsFriendlies Clubs1-1
2022-04-25Crystal PalaceLeedsPremier League0-0
2021-11-30LeedsCrystal PalacePremier League1-0
2021-02-08LeedsCrystal PalacePremier League2-0
2020-11-07Crystal PalaceLeedsPremier League4-1
2013-03-09Crystal PalaceLeedsChampionship2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leeds vs Crystal Palace odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 24.3%, away 20.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.76 4.04 5.03
Bet365 1.70 4.00 4.75
BetVictor 1.67 4.00 4.75
Betano 1.75 4.05 4.85
Betfair 1.73 3.90 5.00
Marathonbet 1.71 3.94 4.90
Pinnacle 1.72 3.96 4.93
SBO 1.69 3.63 4.15
William Hill 1.73 3.75 4.60
betclic_fr 2.05 3.35 3.18

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.72 ▼ -0.33
X 3.96 ▲ +0.61
2 4.85 ▲ +1.67

29 snapshots recorded, from .