Crystal Palace
vs
Lech Poznan
4 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | Yeremy Pino | ||
| 27′ | Chris Richards | ||
| 34′ | Jörgen Strand Larsen | ||
| 61′ | Allahyar SayyadmaneshFilip Jagiełło | ||
| 61′ | Mikael IshakY. Agnero | ||
| 62′ | Anan KhalailiOscar Mingueza | ||
| 62′ | Quinten TimberDwight McNeil | ||
| 70′ | Joel PereiraRobert Gumny | ||
| 70′ | Patrick WalemarkLeo Bengtsson | ||
| 74′ | Chris RichardsJaydee Canvot | ||
| 74′ | Daichi KamadaIsmaila Sarr | ||
| 74′ | Jörgen Strand LarsenEddie Nketiah | ||
| 76′ | Radosław Murawski | ||
| 81′ | Pablo Rodriguez DelgadoDaniel Håkans | ||
| 87′ | Radosław Murawski | ||
| 89′ | Eddie Nketiah |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 478 | Accurate passes | 409 |
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan
| Probability | Crystal Palace | Draw | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.2% | 22.3% | 51.5% |
| Market | 69.8% | 18.5% | 11.8% |
| Final | 58.9% | 19.4% | 21.7% |
| Edge | -43.6% | +3.8% | +39.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan attack and defence ratings
Crystal Palace
Lech Poznan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan: result vs prediction
Crystal Palace 4 – 0 Lech Poznan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crystal Palace | 58.9% | 1.70 | -43.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crystal Palace | 58.9% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| Lech Poznan | 21.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.0% |
| No | 30.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Crystal Palace win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.9% | |
| Loss | 73.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan stats
Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan recent form
| Crystal Palace |
LWWLLW |
| Lech Poznan |
LWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.8%, draw 18.5%, away 11.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 5.42 | 8.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 5.10 | 7.90 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 5.35 | 8.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.52 | 7.99 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 5.03 | 6.86 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .