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Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

2 – 3 Full time

14′Anan Khalaili
23′Emersonn
34′Axel Disasi
37′Yeremy PinoTakehiro Tomiyasu
43′Jack Clarke
45′Leif Davis
58′Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
62′Abdul Fatawu IssahakuJaden Philogene-Bidace
63′Jack ClarkeDaizen Maeda
63′EmersonnZian Flemming
70′Saša Lukić
75′Jörgen Strand Larsen
77′Saša LukićFlorentino Luís
77′Adam WhartonWill Hughes
77′Tyrick MitchellBen Chilwell
84′Daichi KamadaJefferson Lerma
84′Jörgen Strand LarsenZavier Gozo
88′Jacob GreavesAbdoul Ouattara
90′Zian Flemming
90′Chris Richards

Selhurst Park, LondonReferee: Chris Kavanagh

Crystal Palace 50%
Draw 25%
Ipswich 25%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
46 Possession % 54
6 Corners 3
6 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
314 Accurate passes 365

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Crystal Palace vs Ipswich

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCrystal PalaceDrawIpswich
Model49.3%22.7%28.0%
Market50.5%25.6%24.0%
Final50.2%24.8%25.0%
Edge-1.2%-2.9%+4.0%

Confidence: Medium

Why Crystal Palace

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.66.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Crystal Palace ↓ / Ipswich → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Crystal Palace and Ipswich expected goals

Crystal Palace 2.10
Ipswich 1.66

Total expected goals: 3.76

Crystal Palace and Ipswich attack and defence ratings

Crystal Palace

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Ipswich

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich: result vs prediction

Crystal Palace 2 – 3 Ipswich

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Crystal Palace 50.2% 1.99 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.2% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.2% 1.37 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.7% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Crystal Palace50.2%
Draw24.8%
Ipswich25.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.2%
Under 2.525.8%
Both teams to scoreYes73.2%
No26.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.0%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)49.8%
Handicap -1Crystal Palace win30.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss50.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.8%
2-18.5%
2-27.0%

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich stats

Crystal Palace and Ipswich recent form

newest first
Crystal Palace WWLLWL
Ipswich LLWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

7Crystal Palace wins 1Draws 1Ipswich wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-08Crystal PalaceIpswichPremier League1-0
2024-12-03IpswichCrystal PalacePremier League0-1
2022-07-16Crystal PalaceIpswichFriendlies Clubs4-2
2021-07-24IpswichCrystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs0-1
2017-08-22Crystal PalaceIpswichLeague Cup2-1
2013-04-16IpswichCrystal PalaceChampionship3-0
2012-11-06Crystal PalaceIpswichChampionship5-0
2012-04-14Crystal PalaceIpswichChampionship1-1
2011-10-22IpswichCrystal PalaceChampionship0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 25.8%, away 23.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.87 3.55 3.95
1xBet 1.94 3.90 4.11
Bet365 1.90 3.75 3.80
BetVictor 1.87 3.70 4.00
Betano 1.93 3.85 4.05
Betfair 1.91 3.75 3.90
Dafabet 1.90 3.60 4.00
Marathonbet 1.90 3.84 4.10
Pinnacle 1.91 3.75 4.08
SBO 1.88 3.32 3.63
Unibet 1.90 3.45 4.00
William Hill 1.85 3.60 3.80
tipico_de 1.80 3.70 4.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.10
X 3.75 ▲ +0.05
2 4.00 ▼ -0.30

26 snapshots recorded, from .