Sunderland
vs
Arsenal
0 – 2 Full time
| 28′ | Reinildo Isnard Mandava | ||
| 39′ | Mikel Arteta | ||
| 45′ | Ben WhiteJurriën Timber | ||
| 45′ | Myles Lewis-SkellyBruno Guimarães | ||
| 58′ | Bruno Guimarães | ||
| 66′ | Dan Ballard | ||
| 69′ | Granit Xhaka | ||
| 70′ | Nilson AnguloWilson Isidor | ||
| 76′ | Thomas MeunierMalick Fofana | ||
| 81′ | Brian Brobbey | ||
| 81′ | Christos TzolisEberechi Eze | ||
| 81′ | Declan RiceMartín Zubimendi | ||
| 85′ | Martin OdegaardMikel Merino | ||
| 90′ | Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães | ||
| 90′ | Nordi Mukiele | ||
| 90′ | Kai Havertz | ||
| 90′ | Reinildo Isnard Mandava | ||
| 90′ | Bukayo Saka |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 217 | Accurate passes | 320 |
Sunderland vs Arsenal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sunderland vs Arsenal
| Probability | Sunderland | Draw | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.1% | 31.0% | 44.9% |
| Market | 15.1% | 24.7% | 60.2% |
| Final | 17.3% | 26.3% | 56.4% |
| Edge | +9.0% | +6.3% | -15.3% |
Why Arsenal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sunderland and Arsenal expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Sunderland and Arsenal attack and defence ratings
Sunderland
Arsenal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sunderland vs Arsenal: result vs prediction
Sunderland 0 – 2 Arsenal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sunderland vs Arsenal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal | 56.4% | 1.77 | -15.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sunderland | 17.3% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Arsenal | 56.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arsenal win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-1 | 11.4% |
Sunderland vs Arsenal stats
Sunderland and Arsenal recent form
| Sunderland |
WDWLWW |
| Arsenal |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sunderland vs Arsenal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Arsenal | Sunderland | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Sunderland | Arsenal | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2021-12-21 | Arsenal | Sunderland | League Cup | 5-1 |
| 2017-05-16 | Arsenal | Sunderland | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2016-10-29 | Sunderland | Arsenal | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2016-04-24 | Sunderland | Arsenal | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2016-01-09 | Arsenal | Sunderland | FA Cup | 3-1 |
| 2015-12-05 | Arsenal | Sunderland | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2015-05-20 | Arsenal | Sunderland | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2014-10-25 | Sunderland | Arsenal | Premier League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sunderland vs Arsenal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.9%, draw 24.5%, away 60.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 6.20 | 4.10 | 1.51 |
| 1xBet | 6.70 | 3.98 | 1.63 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 3.90 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 3.95 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 3.90 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 6.60 | 4.30 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 6.50 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 6.82 | 3.86 | 1.59 |
| SBO | 5.32 | 3.61 | 1.58 |
| Unibet | 6.40 | 3.90 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| winamax_fr | 5.30 | 3.75 | 1.42 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .