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Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Chelsea vs Hull City

2 – 2 Full time

7′Morgan Rogers
17′Oliver McBurnie
28′Mohamed Belloumi
34′Mohamed Belloumi
45′Jorrel HatoPep Chavarria
50′John Egan
52′Matt Crooks
59′Nobel MendyLucas Herrington
60′Mohamed BelloumiMohamed Ali Cho
60′Elliot StroudSorba Thomas
66′João Pedro
69′Matt CrooksTim Iroegbunam
70′Romeo LaviaValentin Barco
78′Malo GustoDanny Welbeck
80′Valentin Barco
82′Oliver McBurnieRobinio Vaz
82′Lewie CoyleBrooke Norton-Cuffy
86′Pedro NetoEstêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
86′Wesley FofanaMaxence Lacroix
88′Tim Iroegbunam
90′Brooke Norton-Cuffy

Stamford Bridge, LondonReferee: Farai Hallam

Chelsea 68%
Draw 19%
Hull City 13%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
68 Possession % 32
11 Corners 4
7 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 5
479 Accurate passes 179

Chelsea vs Hull City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chelsea vs Hull City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChelseaDrawHull City
Model40.8%31.0%28.2%
Market77.6%14.5%8.0%
Final68.4%18.6%13.0%
Edge-36.8%+16.6%+20.2%

Confidence: Medium

Why Chelsea

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chelsea ↓ / Hull City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 10% 15% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 11%

Chelsea and Hull City expected goals

Chelsea 1.28
Hull City 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.36

Chelsea and Hull City attack and defence ratings

Chelsea

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Hull City

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.57 -43%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chelsea vs Hull City: result vs prediction

Chelsea 2 – 2 Hull City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Chelsea vs Hull City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chelsea 68.4% 1.46 -36.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.0% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.2% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chelsea68.4%
Draw18.6%
Hull City13.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.8%
Under 2.556.2%
Both teams to scoreYes50.8%
No49.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.0%
12 (either side)81.4%
X2 (draw or away)31.6%
Handicap -1Chelsea win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss59.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-010.7%
1-09.9%

Chelsea vs Hull City stats

Chelsea and Hull City recent form

newest first
Chelsea WLWWWL
Hull City LDWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chelsea vs Hull City head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

9Chelsea wins 0Draws 0Hull City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-13Hull CityChelseaEngland FA Cup0-4
2020-01-25Hull CityChelseaFA Cup1-2
2018-02-16ChelseaHull CityFA Cup4-0
2017-01-22ChelseaHull CityPremier League2-0
2016-10-01Hull CityChelseaPremier League0-2
2015-03-22Hull CityChelseaPremier League2-3
2014-12-13ChelseaHull CityPremier League2-0
2014-01-11Hull CityChelseaPremier League0-2
2013-08-18ChelseaHull CityPremier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chelsea vs Hull City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 77.4%, draw 14.5%, away 8.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.22 5.90 12.50
1xBet 1.28 6.65 11.90
Bet365 1.22 6.50 11.00
BetVictor 1.20 7.00 13.00
Betano 1.25 6.60 13.00
Betfair 1.22 6.50 13.00
Dafabet 1.24 6.60 11.00
Marathonbet 1.26 6.55 11.75
Pinnacle 1.23 6.88 12.10
SBO 1.21 5.99 9.06
Unibet 1.25 6.10 10.50
William Hill 1.22 6.00 10.00
betclic_fr 1.18 6.10 11.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.22 ▲ +0.04
X 6.55 ▲ +0.45
2 11.90 ▲ +0.65

26 snapshots recorded, from .