Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Coventry vs Brighton

0 – 5 Full time

35′Charalampos Kostoulas
51′Malick Yalcouyé
53′Taiwo Awoniyi
60′Ephron Mason-ClarkSidiki Cherif
65′Malick YalcouyéChema Andrés
70′Pascal Groß
73′Jack RudoniBrandon Thomas-Asante
73′Frank OnyekaCaleb Yirenkyi
78′Olivier BoscagliIbrahim Osman
78′Luka VuskovicPascal Struijk
83′Lewis Dunk
84′Matt GrimesVictor Torp
84′Charalampos KostoulasMatt O'Riley
84′Diego GomezCostinha
90′Yasin Ayari

Coventry Building Society Arena, CoventryReferee: Tony Harrington

Coventry 30%
Draw 25%
Brighton 44%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 7
31 Possession % 69
5 Corners 3
9 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 6
175 Accurate passes 513

Coventry vs Brighton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coventry vs Brighton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCoventryDrawBrighton
Model47.9%24.9%27.2%
Market24.7%25.5%49.9%
Final30.5%25.3%44.2%
Edge+23.2%-0.5%-22.7%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coventry ↓ / Brighton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Coventry and Brighton expected goals

Coventry 1.84
Brighton 1.43

Total expected goals: 3.28

Coventry and Brighton attack and defence ratings

Coventry

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Brighton

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Coventry vs Brighton: result vs prediction

Coventry 0 – 5 Brighton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Premier League

Before and after this match

Coventry vs Brighton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brighton 44.2% 2.26 -22.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.4% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.6% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.8% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coventry30.5%
Draw25.3%
Brighton44.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.4%
Under 2.534.6%
Both teams to scoreYes66.6%
No33.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.8%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)69.5%
Handicap -1Brighton win12.8%
Push (exactly one goal)14.4%
Loss72.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-19.2%
1-26.8%

Coventry vs Brighton stats

Coventry and Brighton recent form

newest first
Coventry LLWLWW
Brighton DLWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coventry vs Brighton head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Coventry wins 0Draws 2Brighton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-02-17BrightonCoventryFA Cup3-1
2011-12-31CoventryBrightonChampionship2-0
2011-11-26BrightonCoventryChampionship2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coventry vs Brighton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.3%, draw 25.6%, away 50.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.10 3.70 1.81
1xBet 4.03 3.88 1.96
Bet365 3.70 3.90 1.91
BetVictor 3.75 3.75 1.91
Betano 3.95 3.90 1.93
Betfair 3.90 3.70 1.95
Dafabet 4.10 3.70 1.86
Marathonbet 3.96 3.82 1.93
Pinnacle 3.95 3.78 1.93
SBO 3.50 3.26 1.86
Unibet 4.20 3.75 1.84
William Hill 3.70 3.50 1.91
tipico_de 5.20 3.70 1.67

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.90 ▼ -1.30
X 3.78 ▲ +0.08
2 1.93 ▲ +0.26

28 snapshots recorded, from .