Garuda Lions
Today
League Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough

3 – 0 Full time

37′J. Larsen
46′S. ByramNeto Borges
53′J. Larsen
59′D. OsorioD. Kamada
59′Q. TimberA. Wharton
65′Adilson Malanda
67′T. ConwayL. Castledine
67′D. StrelecW. Lankshear
72′D. Kamada
73′A. DisasiJ. Lerma
73′Y. PinoD. McNeil
73′J. LarsenZ. Gozo
77′A. MalandaA. Phillips
83′Myles Peart-Harris
84′A. MorrisR. Pukstas

Selhurst Park, LondonReferee: Tony Harrington, England

Crystal Palace 45%
Draw 24%
Middlesbrough 31%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 4
41 Possession % 59
1 Corners 6
10 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
343 Accurate passes 539

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCrystal PalaceDrawMiddlesbrough
Model19.7%23.2%57.1%
Market53.8%24.3%21.8%
Final45.3%24.0%30.7%
Edge-34.2%-1.1%+35.3%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Crystal Palace ↓ / Middlesbrough → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough expected goals

Crystal Palace 1.13
Middlesbrough 2.02

Total expected goals: 3.15

Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough attack and defence ratings

Crystal Palace

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Middlesbrough

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough: result vs prediction

Crystal Palace 3 – 0 Middlesbrough

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

League Cup

Before and after this match

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Crystal Palace 45.3% 2.21 -34.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.6% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 80.3% 1.25 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Crystal Palace45.3%
Draw24.0%
Middlesbrough30.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.9%
Under 2.539.1%
Both teams to scoreYes59.6%
No40.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.3%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)54.7%
Handicap -1Crystal Palace win7.8%
Push (exactly one goal)11.9%
Loss80.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
1-29.9%
0-28.8%

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough stats

Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough recent form

newest first
Crystal Palace WLLWLD
Middlesbrough WDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Crystal Palace wins 1Draws 3Middlesbrough wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-10-31MiddlesbroughCrystal PalaceLeague Cup1-0
2017-02-25Crystal PalaceMiddlesbroughPremier League1-0
2016-09-10MiddlesbroughCrystal PalacePremier League1-2
2013-02-16Crystal PalaceMiddlesbroughChampionship4-1
2012-08-25MiddlesbroughCrystal PalaceChampionship2-1
2012-02-04MiddlesbroughCrystal PalaceChampionship0-0
2011-09-20Crystal PalaceMiddlesbroughLeague Cup2-1
2011-09-17Crystal PalaceMiddlesbroughChampionship0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.8%, draw 24.3%, away 21.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.75 3.90 4.10
1xBet 1.80 3.98 4.38
888Sport 1.73 3.60 4.00
Bet365 1.73 3.70 4.33
BetVictor 1.75 4.00 4.33
Betano 1.75 4.05 4.80
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.20
Dafabet 1.79 3.95 4.40
Marathonbet 1.78 3.98 4.45
Pinnacle 1.78 3.96 4.42
SBO 1.72 3.44 3.64
Superbet 1.78 3.85 4.30
Unibet 1.75 3.85 4.10
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 —
X 3.88 ▲ +0.02
2 4.31 ▼ -0.02

10 snapshots recorded, from .