Peterborough
vs
Barnsley
3 – 3 Full time
| 1′ | Cameron McGeehan | ||
| 19′ | Harry Leonard | ||
| 26′ | Connor O'Riordan | ||
| 27′ | D. Ormerod | ||
| 40′ | Reyes Cleary | ||
| 51′ | A. Richards | ||
| 57′ | Harry AshfieldLiam Kelly | ||
| 57′ | Brandon·Singh KhelaHarrison Jones | ||
| 60′ | Ben Hamed TouréNoah Town | ||
| 60′ | A. RichardsClayton Taylor | ||
| 61′ | Cameron McGeehan | ||
| 68′ | Owura Edwards | ||
| 74′ | Reyes Cleary | ||
| 75′ | Ethan WilliamsBolu Shofowoke | ||
| 76′ | Harry Leonard | ||
| 84′ | Cameron McGeehanL. Alker | ||
| 88′ | D. Ormerod | ||
| 90′ | Lucca Mendonça | ||
| 90′ | Lucca MendonçaChris Conn-Clarke | ||
| 91′ | Luca Connell | ||
| 92′ | Harry Leonard | ||
| 93′ | Patrick Kelly | ||
| 94′ | D. Ormerod | ||
| 94′ | Tyrese Noslin | ||
| 95′ | Chris Conn-Clarke | ||
| 96′ | Arley Kay | ||
| 96′ | Harley Mills | ||
| 97′ | Reyes Cleary | ||
| 98′ | Liam Kelly | ||
| 98′ | S. Gale | ||
| 99′ | Joshua Feeney | ||
| 100′ | Harrison Jones |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 28 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 15 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Saves | 6 |
| 270 | Accurate passes | 249 |
Peterborough vs Barnsley overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Peterborough vs Barnsley
| Probability | Peterborough | Draw | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 27.8% | 37.3% |
| Market | 41.9% | 25.5% | 32.5% |
| Final | 40.2% | 26.1% | 33.7% |
| Edge | -7.1% | +2.3% | +4.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Peterborough and Barnsley expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Peterborough and Barnsley attack and defence ratings
Peterborough
Barnsley
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Peterborough vs Barnsley: result vs prediction
Peterborough 3 – 3 Barnsley
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Peterborough vs Barnsley markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 40.2% | 2.49 | -7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 40.2% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Barnsley | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Peterborough win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Peterborough vs Barnsley stats
Peterborough and Barnsley recent form
| Peterborough |
DLDLWW |
| Barnsley |
LLWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Peterborough vs Barnsley head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Barnsley | Peterborough | League One | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Peterborough | Barnsley | England FA Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Peterborough | Barnsley | League One | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Barnsley | Peterborough | League One | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-29 | Peterborough | Barnsley | League One | 1-3 |
| 2023-12-29 | Peterborough | Barnsley | League One | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-15 | Barnsley | Peterborough | League One | 1-3 |
| 2023-05-07 | Barnsley | Peterborough | League One | 0-2 |
| 2022-12-02 | Peterborough | Barnsley | League One | 1-2 |
| 2022-04-18 | Barnsley | Peterborough | Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Peterborough vs Barnsley odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 26.2%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.26 | 3.45 | 2.98 |
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.74 | 2.98 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.55 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.74 | 2.99 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.77 | 3.00 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.33 | 2.89 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .