Plymouth
vs
Barnsley
3 – 0 Full time
| 1′ | Oliver Irow | ||
| 9′ | S. Gale | ||
| 21′ | Ronan Curtis | ||
| 45′ | Jonathan BlandLuca Connell | ||
| 45′ | Reyes ClearyA. Richards | ||
| 45′ | Makenzie KirkBen Hamed Touré | ||
| 50′ | Aribim Pepple | ||
| 63′ | Ronan CurtisOwen Oseni | ||
| 63′ | Alex MitchellMathias Ross Jensen | ||
| 71′ | L. AlkerClayton Taylor | ||
| 73′ | Matthew SorinolaJoe Edwards | ||
| 73′ | Tyreeq BakinsonBradley Ibrahim | ||
| 76′ | Mathias Ross Jensen | ||
| 80′ | Oliver IrowCaleb Watts | ||
| 80′ | Will Evans | ||
| 90′ | Tyrese Noslin |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 7 | Offsides | 5 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 135 | Accurate passes | 280 |
Plymouth vs Barnsley overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plymouth vs Barnsley
| Probability | Plymouth | Draw | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.7% | 21.3% | 21.0% |
| Market | 56.4% | 23.0% | 20.7% |
| Final | 56.7% | 22.5% | 20.7% |
| Edge | +1.3% | -1.7% | +0.3% |
Why Plymouth
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.35.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plymouth and Barnsley expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.63
Plymouth and Barnsley attack and defence ratings
Plymouth
Barnsley
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Plymouth vs Barnsley: result vs prediction
Plymouth 3 – 0 Barnsley
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Plymouth vs Barnsley markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 56.7% | 1.76 | +1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 56.7% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Barnsley | 20.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% |
| No | 32.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plymouth win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 42.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Plymouth vs Barnsley stats
Plymouth and Barnsley recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Plymouth and Barnsley going into this match
Plymouth record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Barnsley record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Plymouth vs Barnsley head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Barnsley | Plymouth | League One | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-02 | Plymouth | Barnsley | League One | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-11 | Barnsley | Plymouth | League One | 3-0 |
| 2022-07-30 | Plymouth | Barnsley | League One | 1-0 |
| 2019-04-22 | Plymouth | Barnsley | League One | 0-3 |
| 2018-10-02 | Barnsley | Plymouth | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Plymouth vs Barnsley odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.4%, draw 23.0%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.66 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.05 | 4.50 |
| 888Sport | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 4.05 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 4.32 | 4.67 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.70 | 3.87 |
| Superbet | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| Unibet | 1.71 | 3.95 | 4.40 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .