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League One · Full time ·Matchday 6

Oxford United vs Burton Albion

3 – 0 Full time

23′Joe Cameron Lewis
38′Jamie McDonnell
45′Jack ArmerH. Araujo
61′Brodie SpencerJack Currie
61′Jamie McDonnellGatlin O Donkor
62′Will CollarSulyman Krubally
62′Caylon VickersKain Adom
68′Joe Cameron LewisJason Sraha
74′Kai AndrewsTyler Goodrham
76′Siriki Dembele
86′Mark HarrisLouie Sibley
87′Mo MissangaL. Snowden
90′Louie Sibley
90′Gatlin O Donkor

Kassam Stadium, OxfordReferee: W. Davis

Oxford United 49%
Draw 26%
Burton Albion 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
65 Possession % 35
2 Corners 5
14 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
347 Accurate passes 140

Oxford United vs Burton Albion overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Oxford United vs Burton Albion

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOxford UnitedDrawBurton Albion
Model43.5%26.2%30.2%
Market51.0%25.9%23.1%
Final49.1%26.0%24.9%
Edge-7.4%+0.3%+7.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Oxford United ↓ / Burton Albion → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Oxford United and Burton Albion expected goals

Oxford United 1.65
Burton Albion 1.35

Total expected goals: 3.00

Oxford United and Burton Albion attack and defence ratings

Oxford United

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Burton Albion

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Oxford United vs Burton Albion: result vs prediction

Oxford United 3 – 0 Burton Albion

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Oxford United vs Burton Albion markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Oxford United 49.1% 2.04 -7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.9% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.6% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Oxford United49.1%
Draw26.0%
Burton Albion24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.6%
Under 2.542.4%
Both teams to scoreYes60.9%
No39.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)50.9%
Handicap -1Oxford United win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss56.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.2%
1-27.5%

Oxford United vs Burton Albion stats

Oxford United and Burton Albion recent form

newest first
Oxford United WLWDLL
Burton Albion DWLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Oxford United and Burton Albion going into this match

league record before kick-off

Burton Albion record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Oxford United vs Burton Albion head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Oxford United wins 2Draws 1Burton Albion wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-06Burton AlbionOxford UnitedLeague One0-4
2023-12-16Oxford UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One3-0
2023-01-28Burton AlbionOxford UnitedLeague One2-0
2022-09-03Oxford UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One2-1
2022-03-05Oxford UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One4-1
2021-10-23Burton AlbionOxford UnitedLeague One1-3
2021-08-11Burton AlbionOxford UnitedLeague Cup1-1
2021-05-09Oxford UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One4-0
2021-01-02Burton AlbionOxford UnitedLeague One1-5
2020-02-11Burton AlbionOxford UnitedLeague One2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Oxford United vs Burton Albion odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 26.2%, away 23.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.87 3.50 4.00
1xBet 1.83 3.66 4.03
888Sport 1.85 3.30 3.90
Bet365 1.83 3.50 4.20
BetVictor 1.80 3.70 4.20
Betano 1.85 3.60 4.00
Betfair 1.91 3.50 4.00
Dafabet 1.86 3.65 4.20
Marathonbet 1.81 3.66 4.05
Pinnacle 1.87 3.86 4.05
SBO 1.82 3.17 3.54
Superbet 1.85 3.55 4.10
Unibet 1.82 3.60 4.20
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▲ +0.08
X 3.60 ▼ -0.05
2 4.03 ▼ -0.35

13 snapshots recorded, from .