League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Oxford United
vs
Cambridge United
1 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | Jamie McDonnellLouie Sibley | ||
| 15′ | Siriki Dembele | ||
| 45′ | Cameron Brannagan | ||
| 45′ | Callum PerryZak·Bradshaw | ||
| 50′ | Sam Curtis | ||
| 55′ | Owen MoxonShayne Lavery | ||
| 57′ | Ben Knight | ||
| 58′ | Kai AndrewsGatlin O Donkor | ||
| 58′ | Mo MissangaLuka Lynch | ||
| 63′ | Ben Knight | ||
| 66′ | Shayne Lavery | ||
| 70′ | Peter KiosoBrodie Spencer | ||
| 70′ | Mark HarrisTyler Goodrham | ||
| 71′ | Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews | ||
| 76′ | Sullay KaikaiIsaac Heath | ||
| 86′ | Ben KnightRaees Bangura-Williams | ||
| 86′ | Gassan AhadmeLouis Appere | ||
| 87′ | Kelland Watts |
Oxford United
45%
Draw
27%
Cambridge United
28%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 414 | Accurate passes | 164 |
Oxford United vs Cambridge United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oxford United vs Cambridge United
| Probability | Oxford United | Draw | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 26.6% | 27.7% |
| Market | 45.1% | 27.5% | 27.5% |
| Final | 45.2% | 27.2% | 27.5% |
| Edge | +0.6% | -0.8% | +0.2% |
Why Oxford United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
Oxford United and Cambridge United expected goals
Oxford United
1.64
Cambridge United
1.24
Total expected goals: 2.88
Oxford United and Cambridge United attack and defence ratings
Oxford United
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Cambridge United
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oxford United vs Cambridge United: result vs prediction
Oxford United 1 – 1 Cambridge United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
- Barnsley v Leicester — match page
- Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats
- Reading vs Notts County
- Wigan v Wycombe — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Peterborough v Doncaster — match page
- Blackpool vs Plymouth — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Oxford United vs Cambridge United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oxford United | 45.2% | 2.21 | +0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oxford United | 45.2% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Cambridge United | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% |
| No | 41.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oxford United win | 24.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Oxford United vs Cambridge United stats
Oxford United and Cambridge United recent form
| Oxford United |
WWLWDL |
| Cambridge United |
WDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oxford United and Cambridge United going into this match
Oxford United record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cambridge United record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Oxford United vs Cambridge United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Oxford United wins
2Draws
3Cambridge United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-26 | Oxford United | Cambridge United | League One | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-05 | Cambridge United | Oxford United | League One | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Cambridge United | Oxford United | League One | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-06 | Oxford United | Cambridge United | League One | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-26 | Oxford United | Cambridge United | League One | 4-2 |
| 2021-08-31 | Cambridge United | Oxford United | EFL Trophy | 4-1 |
| 2021-08-07 | Cambridge United | Oxford United | League One | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-12 | Oxford United | Cambridge United | EFL Trophy | 1-0 |
| 2016-03-28 | Cambridge United | Oxford United | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2015-11-14 | Oxford United | Cambridge United | League Two | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oxford United vs Cambridge United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.1%, draw 27.5%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.42 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.42 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 3.57 | 3.55 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.04 | 3.02 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.07 ▼ -0.03
X
3.40 ▲ +0.06
2
3.40 ▲ +0.10
9 snapshots recorded, from .