League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Peterborough
vs
Doncaster
0 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | Alfie May | ||
| 36′ | Joshua Feeney | ||
| 62′ | Alfie MayJordan Thomas | ||
| 64′ | Harrison JonesHarry Ashfield | ||
| 65′ | Liam KellyB. Woods | ||
| 73′ | Leon AyindeTommi Dylan O'Reilly | ||
| 76′ | Owura EdwardsEthan Williams | ||
| 84′ | Brandon HanlanIsaac Hutchinson | ||
| 85′ | Carl JohnstonChris Conn-Clarke | ||
| 88′ | Isaac Hutchinson | ||
| 90′ | Harry Leonard | ||
| 90′ | Jack Senior |
Peterborough
40%
Draw
26%
Doncaster
34%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 345 | Accurate passes | 170 |
Peterborough vs Doncaster overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Peterborough vs Doncaster
| Probability | Peterborough | Draw | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.6% | 26.1% | 27.3% |
| Market | 37.4% | 26.0% | 36.7% |
| Final | 39.7% | 26.0% | 34.3% |
| Edge | +9.3% | +0.1% | -9.4% |
Why Peterborough
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Peterborough below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Peterborough and Doncaster expected goals
Peterborough
1.70
Doncaster
1.26
Total expected goals: 2.96
Peterborough and Doncaster attack and defence ratings
Peterborough
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Doncaster
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Peterborough vs Doncaster: result vs prediction
Peterborough 0 – 2 Doncaster
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
- Barnsley v Leicester — match page
- Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats
- Reading vs Notts County
- Wigan v Wycombe — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Cambridge United
- Blackpool vs Plymouth — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Peterborough vs Doncaster markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 39.7% | 2.52 | +9.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 39.7% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Doncaster | 34.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Peterborough win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 53.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 7.7% |
Peterborough vs Doncaster stats
Peterborough and Doncaster recent form
| Peterborough |
DDLDLW |
| Doncaster |
LLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Peterborough and Doncaster going into this match
Peterborough record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Doncaster record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Peterborough vs Doncaster head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Peterborough wins
3Draws
5Doncaster wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Peterborough | Doncaster | League One | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Doncaster | Peterborough | League One | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-02 | Peterborough | Doncaster | FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-09 | Doncaster | Peterborough | League One | 1-4 |
| 2021-04-27 | Peterborough | Doncaster | League One | 2-2 |
| 2019-12-26 | Peterborough | Doncaster | League One | 0-3 |
| 2019-09-21 | Doncaster | Peterborough | League One | 2-0 |
| 2019-02-09 | Doncaster | Peterborough | League One | 3-1 |
| 2018-09-01 | Peterborough | Doncaster | League One | 1-1 |
| 2018-01-01 | Peterborough | Doncaster | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Peterborough vs Doncaster odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.4%, draw 26.0%, away 36.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.54 | 2.55 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.51 | 3.52 | 2.55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 3.67 | 2.64 |
| SBO | 2.19 | 3.14 | 2.52 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.50 ▲ +0.20
X
3.60 ▲ +0.05
2
2.55 ▼ -0.22
9 snapshots recorded, from .