Reading
vs
Notts County
2 – 0 Full time
| 24′ | Hindolo Mustapha | ||
| 49′ | Jack Marriott | ||
| 59′ | D. KanuLuka Smyth | ||
| 59′ | Hindolo MustaphaConor·Grant | ||
| 59′ | Jack EvansMatt Palmer | ||
| 59′ | Darius LipsiucRosaire Longelo | ||
| 72′ | Jack Marriott | ||
| 76′ | Oliver CooperCallum Roberts | ||
| 76′ | Jack MarriottJacob Brown | ||
| 76′ | Haydon RobertsRandell Williams | ||
| 90′ | Kyreece Joshua Lisbie | ||
| 90′ | Kyreece Joshua LisbieDaniel·Kyerewaa | ||
| 90′ | George EarthyCharlie Savage | ||
| 90′ | P. Lane |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 295 | Accurate passes | 317 |
Reading vs Notts County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Reading vs Notts County
| Probability | Reading | Draw | Notts County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 28.3% | 24.2% |
| Market | 53.1% | 25.5% | 21.5% |
| Final | 51.7% | 26.2% | 22.1% |
| Edge | -5.6% | +2.8% | +2.8% |
Why Reading
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Reading and Notts County expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Reading and Notts County attack and defence ratings
Reading
Notts County
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Reading vs Notts County: result vs prediction
Reading 2 – 0 Notts County
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
- Barnsley v Leicester — match page
- Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats
- Wigan v Wycombe — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Cambridge United
- Peterborough v Doncaster — match page
- Blackpool vs Plymouth — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Reading vs Notts County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reading | 51.7% | 1.93 | -5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reading | 51.7% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Notts County | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reading win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 52.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Reading vs Notts County stats
Reading and Notts County recent form
| Reading |
LLWWWD |
| Notts County |
LDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Reading and Notts County going into this match
Reading record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
Notts County record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Reading vs Notts County head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Reading vs Notts County odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.1%, draw 25.5%, away 21.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.60 | 4.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.81 | 4.61 |
| SBO | 1.77 | 3.14 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .