Notts County
vs
Oxford United
1 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | Rod McDonald | ||
| 18′ | Mark Harris | ||
| 23′ | Oliver Cooper | ||
| 44′ | Louie Sibley | ||
| 45′ | James GibbonsNicholas Tsaroulla | ||
| 45′ | Oliver CooperRory Finneran | ||
| 45′ | Matt PalmerMax Sanders | ||
| 47′ | Max Sanders | ||
| 58′ | Jacob Bedeau | ||
| 58′ | Louie SibleyKai Andrews | ||
| 65′ | Conor·GrantLuka Smyth | ||
| 66′ | Mo MissangaL. Snowden | ||
| 66′ | Tyler GoodrhamGatlin O Donkor | ||
| 70′ | Rory Finneran | ||
| 76′ | Siriki DembeleLuka Lynch | ||
| 76′ | Jack CurrieBrodie Spencer | ||
| 77′ | Lucas Ness | ||
| 82′ | Peter Kioso | ||
| 87′ | Michał Helik | ||
| 88′ | Cameron Brannagan | ||
| 90′ | Rory Finneran |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 298 | Accurate passes | 315 |
Notts County vs Oxford United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Notts County vs Oxford United
| Probability | Notts County | Draw | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.2% | 30.6% | 39.2% |
| Market | 38.9% | 27.8% | 33.3% |
| Final | 36.7% | 28.5% | 34.8% |
| Edge | -2.2% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Notts County and Oxford United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Notts County and Oxford United attack and defence ratings
Notts County
Oxford United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Notts County vs Oxford United: result vs prediction
Notts County 1 – 2 Oxford United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Notts County vs Oxford United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Notts County | 36.7% | 2.73 | -2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Notts County | 36.7% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Oxford United | 34.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Notts County win | 12.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 69.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 11.0% | |
| 0-1 | 10.9% |
Notts County vs Oxford United stats
Notts County and Oxford United recent form
| Notts County |
LLDDWD |
| Oxford United |
DWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Notts County and Oxford United going into this match
Notts County record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oxford United record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Notts County vs Oxford United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-01-02 | Notts County | Oxford United | League Two | 2-4 |
| 2015-08-18 | Oxford United | Notts County | League Two | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Notts County vs Oxford United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.9%, draw 27.8%, away 33.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.49 | 3.40 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.56 | 2.93 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 3.02 | 2.57 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .