Wycombe
vs
Luton
1 – 4 Full time
| 16′ | Kasey Palmer | ||
| 27′ | Jamie Donley | ||
| 40′ | Kal Naismith | ||
| 45′ | Ewan HendersonCauley Woodrow | ||
| 45′ | S. ParkerJack Grimmer | ||
| 45′ | Kal NaismithJoseph Johnson | ||
| 46′ | Nahki Wells | ||
| 57′ | Steve CookMalik Mothersille | ||
| 57′ | Josh ScowenCaolan Boyd-Munce | ||
| 58′ | George JohnstonIsaiah Jones | ||
| 71′ | Nahki WellsDevante Cole | ||
| 71′ | Kasey PalmerJake Richards | ||
| 76′ | Jayden WarehamEmre Tezgel | ||
| 76′ | Liam Walsh | ||
| 83′ | Tudor Mendel-IdowuE. Lawrence | ||
| 84′ | Devante Cole | ||
| 90′ | Jack Grimmer |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 401 | Accurate passes | 265 |
Wycombe vs Luton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wycombe vs Luton
| Probability | Wycombe | Draw | Luton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 22.1% | 37.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.4% | 22.1% | 37.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wycombe
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wycombe and Luton expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.00
Wycombe and Luton attack and defence ratings
Wycombe
Luton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wycombe vs Luton: result vs prediction
Wycombe 1 – 4 Luton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
- Notts County v Oxford United — match page
- Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday — team news & stats
- Leicester vs Peterborough
- Bradford v Leyton Orient — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Burton Albion
- Stevenage vs Wigan — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Wycombe vs Luton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wycombe | 40.4% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Luton | 37.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.5% |
| No | 24.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wycombe win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.0% |
| 2-1 | 7.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Wycombe vs Luton stats
Wycombe and Luton recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wycombe and Luton going into this match
Wycombe record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Luton record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wycombe vs Luton head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Wycombe | Luton | League One | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Luton | Wycombe | League One | 4-0 |
| 2021-04-10 | Wycombe | Luton | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2020-10-03 | Luton | Wycombe | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2019-02-09 | Luton | Wycombe | League One | 3-0 |
| 2018-11-10 | Luton | Wycombe | FA Cup | 2-0 |
| 2018-09-01 | Wycombe | Luton | League One | 1-1 |
| 2018-01-30 | Luton | Wycombe | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2017-09-16 | Wycombe | Luton | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2017-01-21 | Wycombe | Luton | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wycombe vs Luton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 26.2%, away 38.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 3.56 | 2.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.70 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 3.56 | 2.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.75 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 3.07 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .